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KNVB Beker

Referee: J Manschot

Spakenburg

S S S U S

1–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spakenburg PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 82%

80%

83%

Points per game

2,6

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

67%

Both score Ø 82%

80%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

2,2

2,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,7

This season — KNVB Beker · 5/3 matches

Win Ø 90%

80%

100%

Points per game

2,6

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

60%

100%

Both score Ø 90%

80%

100%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

2,2

2,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

29% Possession 71%

2 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

5 Free kicks against 4

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spakenburg 1. · PSV Eindhoven 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spakenburg	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	De Graafschap	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Heerenveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Den Haag	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	De Treffers	4	3	0	1	+2	9
9	Nijmegen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
10	Katwijk	3	2	1	0	+4	7
11	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+3	7
12	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+5	6
13	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
14	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	URK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
21	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
22	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
24	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Den Bosch	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
55	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
56	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Spakenburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	URK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Spakenburg	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Katwijk	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
39	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.