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Coppa Italia
Referee: D Massa
Juventus
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Inter
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coppa Italia · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Juventus 6. · Inter 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cremonese 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Torino 4 3 0 1 +7 9
3 Bari 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Spezia 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Parma 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Fiorentina 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Modena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Monza 3 2 0 1 +1 6
11 Genoa 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Bologna 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Sampdoria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +2 3
16 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
17 FeralpiSalo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
18 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
19 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 +0 3
20 Roma 2 1 0 1 +0 3
21 Spal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
22 Lazio 2 1 0 1 +0 3
23 Palermo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
24 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -3 3
25 Napoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Perugia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Reggina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0
42 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Padova 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Como 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Inter
41′
🟨 Marcelo Brozović
Half-time 0–0
F. Miretti 🔁
↦ N. Fagioli
65′
F. Chiesa 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
65′
68′
🔁 R. Lukaku
↦ E. Džeko
69′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ F. Dimarco
A. Milik 🔁
↦ D. Vlahović
73′
80′
🟨 Romelu Lukaku
81′
🔁 K. Asllani
↦ M. Brozović
81′
🔁 D. Dumfries
↦ D. DAmbrosio
1–0 J. Cuadrado
83′
86′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ Lautaro Martínez
Fabio Miretti 🟨
89′
Juan Cuadrado 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Romelu Lukaku
95′
🟥 Romelu Lukaku
95′
R. Lukaku 1–1
Juan Cuadrado 🟥
99′
99′
🟥 Samir Handanovič
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-1-1
36 M. Perin G
15 F. Gatti D
3 Bremer D
6 Danilo D
11 J. Cuadrado M
44 N. Fagioli M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
17 F. Kostić M
22 Á. Di María F
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (13)
20 F. Miretti
7 F. Chiesa
14 A. Milik
45 E. Barrenechea
2 M. De Sciglio
12 Alex Sandro
24 D. Rugani
1 W. Szczęsny
18 M. Kean
30 M. Soulé
32 L. Paredes
23 C. Pinsoglio
43 S. Iling-Junior

Coach: M. Allegri

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
36 M. Darmian M
23 N. Barella M
77 M. Brozović M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
90 R. Lukaku
8 R. Gosens
14 K. Asllani
2 D. Dumfries
11 J. Correa
21 A. Cordaz
45 V. Carboni
6 S. de Vrij
12 R. Bellanova
46 M. Zanotti
24 A. Onana
5 R. Gagliardini

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.