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Europa League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
Union Berlin
U U S T U
3–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 65%
63%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
13%
50%
Both score Ø 32%
13%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
0,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,76 xG 1,32
65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Nov -22 St. Gilloise – Union Berlin 0–1 8. Sep -22 Union Berlin – St. Gilloise 0–1

Match report

Union Berlin St. Gilloise
20′
🟨 Yorbe Vertessen
28′
⚽ V. Boniface 0–1
Y. Vertessen
1–1 J. Juranović ⚽
42′
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟨 Senne Lynen
58′
⚽ Y. Vertessen 1–2
L. Lapoussin
A. Laïdouni 🔁
↦ J. Haberer
63′
J. Siebatcheu 🔁
↦ K. Behrens
64′
Danilho Doekhi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
67′
68′
🟨 Christian Burgess
2–2 R. Knoche ⚽
69′
72′
⚽ V. Boniface 2–3
B. Nieuwkoop
Robin Knoche 🟨
75′
J. Leweling 🔁
↦ M. Thorsby
77′
N. Gießelmann 🔁
↦ C. Trimmel
77′
S. Michel 🔁
↦ S. Becker
77′
80′
🔁 S. Adingra
↦ Y. Vertessen
Niko Giesselmann 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ L. Amani
86′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ V. Boniface
3–3 S. Michel ⚽
89′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
28 C. Trimmel M
2 M. Thorsby M
8 R. Khedira M
19 J. Haberer M
18 J. Juranović M
27 S. Becker F
17 K. Behrens F
Bench (10)
20 A. Laïdouni
45 J. Siebatcheu
40 J. Leweling
23 N. Gießelmann
11 S. Michel
37 L. Grill
36 A. Kemlein
16 T. Maciejewski
39 Y. Stein
3 P. Jaeckel

Coach: U. Fischer

St. Gilloise

5-3-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
94 L. Lapoussin D
8 L. Amani M
6 O. El Azzouzi M
20 S. Lynen M
18 Y. Vertessen F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (11)
11 S. Adingra
23 Cameron Puertas
29 G. Nilsson
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
10 T. Teuma
26 R. Sykes
28 K. Machida
14 J. Imbrechts
17 C. Terho
21 L. Pirard
35 N. Huygevelde

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.