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DFB-Pokal

Referee: T Welz

Carl Zeiss Jena

T T

0–1

Full-time

Leverkusen

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carl Zeiss Jena Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

0,0

2,2

Conceded

3,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%

6 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Kickers Offenbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	TuS Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	SV Meppen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
62	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Kickers Offenbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	TuS Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
24	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-5	0
29	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
30	SV Meppen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
31	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.