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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Ath Bilbao

T S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,38 xG 0,08

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 2

4 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 16. · Valencia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+3	+4.0	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
3	Celta	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.3	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.9	4
5	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.3	4
6	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
7	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.2	4
9	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
10	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.6	3
11	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
12	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.1	2
13	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.5	2
14	Mallorca	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
15	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
16	Ath Bilbao	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
17	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
18	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
19	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.5	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
3	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.5	3
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Mallorca	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
10	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
12	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
13	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
17	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
18	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
19	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.2	6
2	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
3	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
5	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
6	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
7	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
9	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
10	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
12	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
13	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
15	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
16	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
17	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
18	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
19	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.