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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Qarabag
S S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 80%
60%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
4,4
3,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,4
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -24 Dinamo Zagreb – Qarabag 3–0

Match report

Qarabag Dinamo Zagreb
Kevin Medina 🟨
14′
18′
🟨 Samy Mmaee
30′
🟨 Takuya Ogiwara
32′
⚽ M. Pjaca 0–1
P. Sučić
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Bernauer
↦ T. Ogiwara
53′
⚽ Matheus Silva 1–1
own goal
66′
🔁 M. Rog
↦ M. Baturina
66′
🔁 J. Córdoba
↦ B. Petković
Patrick Andrade 🟨
69′
N. Axundzadə 🔁
↦ Juninho
78′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
78′
A. Isaev 🔁
↦ Patrick Andrade
80′
A. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ Matheus Silva
80′
80′
🔁 D. Špikić
↦ M. Pjaca
84′
🔁 A. Hoxha
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
Kevin Medina 🟨
88′
Kevin Medina 🟥
88′
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
66 Patrick Andrade M
6 Júlio Romão M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (12)
90 N. Axundzadə
27 T. Bayramov
24 A. Isaev
30 A. Hüseynov
17 H. Keyta
12 S. Məmmədzadə
97 F. Buntić
19 R. Xhixha
29 M. Vešović
20 R. Almeyda
55 B. Hüseynov
22 M. Qurbanlı

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-3-2
33 I. Nevistić G
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
28 K. Théophile-Catherine D
13 S. Mmaee D
3 T. Ogiwara D
27 J. Mišić M
20 M. Pjaca M
25 P. Sučić M
10 M. Baturina M
9 B. Petković F
17 S. Kulenović F
Bench (12)
6 M. Bernauer
30 M. Rog
19 J. Córdoba
77 D. Špikić
11 A. Hoxha
8 L. Kačavenda
23 I. Filipović
36 L. Vrbančić
4 Raúl Torrente
1 D. Zagorac
66 B. Pavić
7 L. Stojković

Coach: S. Jakirović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.