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League Cup

Referee: J Smith

Wolves

T T T T T

2–0

Full-time

Burnley

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

3,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 0

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Preston	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Sheffield Weds	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Leyton Orient	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Coventry	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Bolton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	QPR	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+4	3
16	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Everton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Sheffield United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Oxford	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Rotherham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Millwall	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Tranmere	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-3	3
37	Harrogate Town	2	1	0	1	-4	3
38	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
47	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
48	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Preston	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
29	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
30	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-5	0
47	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sheffield Weds	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Preston	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Tranmere	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.