← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: Will Finnie
Birmingham
S S U S U
2–2
Full-time
Bristol City
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Birmingham Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,98 xG 1,43
65% Possession 35%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 16. · Bristol City 24.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 QPR 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.1 3
2 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +2 +2.9 3
3 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.1 3
4 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.9 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.7 3
6 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.0 3
7 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.0 3
8 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.0 3
9 Burnley 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.0 1
10 West Ham 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.0 1
11 Wolves 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
12 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
13 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
14 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
15 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
16 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
17 Norwich 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.1 0
18 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.9 0
19 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.7 0
20 Derby 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.0 0
21 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.0 0
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.0 0
23 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.1 0
24 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Bristol City
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
32′
33′
S. Twine 0–1
0–2 S. Tickle
own goal
42′
Half-time 0–2
E. Laird 🔁
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
46′
D. Gray 🔁
↦ C. Vicente
62′
P. Roberts 🔁
↦ Paik Seung-Ho
62′
65′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ J. Wallace
65′
🔁 D. Ballard
↦ L. Tolaj
71′
🔁 S. Greenwood
↦ S. Twine
71′
🔁 G. Yah
↦ J. Williams
Patrick Roberts 🟨
78′
L. Vazquez 🔁
↦ A. Priske
78′
M. Ducksch 🔁
↦ J. Stansfield
84′
85′
D. Ballard 0–3
R. Cardines
1–3 D. Gray
90′
91′
🔁 R. Atkinson
↦ Y. Hirakawa
96′
🟨 Jason Knight
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
1 J. Beadle G
26 B. Osayi-Samuel D
5 P. Neumann D
4 C. Klarer D
20 A. Cochrane D
24 T. Iwata M
14 J. E. Solis Romero M
7 C. Vicente M
8 Paik Seung-Ho M
28 J. Stansfield M
9 A. Priske F
Bench (9)
21 R. Allsop
25 K. Lund
23 D. Fry
2 E. Laird
27 K. Fujimoto
10 D. Gray
33 M. Ducksch
16 P. Roberts
32 L. Vazquez

Coach: Chris Davies

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle G
19 G. Tanner D
16 R. Dickie D
2 L. Eissat D
21 R. Cardines D
12 J. Knight M
8 J. Williams M
17 J. Wallace M
10 S. Twine M
7 Y. Hirakawa M
9 L. Tolaj F
Bench (9)
40 B. Collins
38 N. Eile
5 R. Atkinson
20 S. Greenwood
14 T. Horvat
27 G. Yah
23 D. Ballard
18 E. Riis
11 S. Bell

Coach: Roy Hodgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,79
U ✓
3,66
B
4,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.