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DFB-Pokal
Referee: Florian Badstubner
Bochum
S S S T S
0–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

24% Possession 76%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 7
11 Free kicks against 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 10. · Stuttgart 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Hertha 3 2 1 0 +8 7
4 Union Berlin 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Kaiserslautern 3 2 0 1 +3 6
9 Magdeburg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
10 Bochum 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Holstein Kiel 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 M'gladbach 3 2 0 1 +2 6
13 Hamburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 St Pauli 3 1 2 0 +1 5
15 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +5 4
16 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 0 +4 4
17 Stuttgart 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 Dortmund 3 1 1 1 +0 4
19 Wolfsburg 2 1 0 1 +8 3
20 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +4 3
21 Karlsruhe 2 1 0 1 +3 3
22 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Paderborn 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Bielefeld 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 Cottbus 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
31 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 -3 3
32 Braunschweig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Preußen Münster 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Illertissen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 FC Schweinfurt 05 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 FC 08 Homburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
61 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 ZFC Meuselwitz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 RSV Eintracht 1 0 0 1 -7 0
64 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Stuttgart
12′
P. Strompf 1–0
own goal
Philipp Strompf ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
45′
Half-time 1–0
Philipp Strompf 🟥
46′
E. Masovic 🔁
↦ C. Lenz
46′
M. Kwarteng 🔁
↦ F. Onyeka
46′
47′
D. Undav 1–1
J. Leweling
K. Koscierski 🔁
↦ F. Alfa-Ruprecht
60′
F. Passlack 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
60′
61′
🔁 C. Fuhrich
↦ B. El Khannouss
61′
🔁 N. Nartey
↦ R. Hendriks
P. Hofmann 🔁
↦ K. Watjen
76′
76′
🔁 C. Andres
↦ A. Stiller
76′
🔁 B. Bouanani
↦ J. Leweling
89′
🔁 L. Stergiou
↦ F. Jeltsch
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bochum

5-4-1
1 T. Horn G
39 L. Morgalla D
20 N. Loosli D
6 I. Sissoko D
3 P. Strompf D
32 M. Wittek D
29 F. Alfa-Ruprecht M
34 C. Lenz M
24 M. Pannewig M
8 K. Watjen M
21 F. Onyeka F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
35 K. Koscierski
4 E. Masovic
15 F. Passlack
26 R. Rosch
11 M. Kwarteng
33 P. Hofmann
10 M. Obafemi
9 I. Sissoko

Coach: Dieter-Klaus Hecking

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 F. Bredlow G
29 F. Jeltsch D
24 J. Chabot D
3 R. Hendriks D
22 L. Assignon M
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
7 M. Mittelstadt M
11 B. El Khannouss F
18 J. Leweling F
26 D. Undav F
Bench (9)
33 A. Nubel
2 A. Al Dakhil
20 L. Stergiou
4 J. Vagnoman
30 C. Andres
10 C. Fuhrich
28 N. Nartey
27 B. Bouanani
8 T. Tomas

Coach: Sebastian Hoeneß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Florian Badstubner · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.