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Copa del Rey

Referee: J Guzman

Quintanar del Rey

T U

1–2

Full-time

Elche

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quintanar del Rey Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Quintanar del Rey 64. · Elche 26. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Palma del Rio	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Cultural Leonesa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	CF Talavera	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
14	Puerto de Vega	3	1	1	1	+2	4
15	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
17	CD Yuncos	3	1	1	1	-3	4
18	Deportivo Getxo	3	1	1	1	-6	4
19	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
20	Betis	1	1	0	0	+6	3
21	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+6	3
22	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Atlético Baleares	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
47	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
49	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Antoniano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Real Ávila	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
58	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	3
61	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
62	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
63	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Reddis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
74	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
75	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
76	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
77	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
78	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
79	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
80	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
81	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
111	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
121	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Puerto de Vega	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Atlético Baleares	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Antoniano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Real Ávila	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Palma del Rio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	CD Yuncos	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
26	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
27	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Reddis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
36	Deportivo Getxo	2	0	1	1	-7	1
37	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
38	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Betis	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quintanar del Rey Elche

E. Fabra 🟨

36′

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 Y. Santiago

↦ R. Mir

46′

🔁 L. Petrot

↦ V. Chust

48′

⚽ A. Houary 0–1

R. Mendoza

F. Romero 🟨

55′

T. Perez 🔁

↦ E. Fabra

62′

O. Cantarero 🔁

↦ F. Romero

62′

64′

🔁 A. Pedrosa

↦ N. Salvador

64′

🔁 H. Fort

↦ Josan

1–1 E. Iglesias ⚽

T. Perez

70′

Guti 🔁

↦ Chabo

86′

R. Murcia 🟨

87′

90′

🔁 M. Aguado

↦ A. Houary

A. Ruiz 🔁

↦ O. Olmedilla

91′

J. Lorente 🔁

↦ R. Murcia

91′

95′

🔁 M. Neto

↦ R. Mendoza

96′

🟨 A. Pedrosa

A. Fernandez 🔁

↦ E. Iglesias

98′

99′

🟨 E. Sarabia

T. Perez 🟨

113′

117′

⚽ H. Fort 1–2

M. Aguado

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Quintanar del Rey

13 K. Bartual

5 F. Romero

2 S. Perea

4 E. Emanuele

3 D. Jodar Ruiz

11 Chabo

21 E. Fabra

18 R. Murcia

17 R. Fita

6 O. Olmedilla

19 E. Iglesias

Bench (9)

1 M. Montesinos

8 A. Ruiz

9 A. Fernandez

10 J. Lorente

15 E. Pamies

16 T. Perez

20 Guti

24 O. Cantarero

26 M. Collado

Coach: Pedro Bolanos

Elche

M. Dituro

J. Donald

4 B. Diaby

V. Chust

36 N. Salvador

F. Redondo Solari

R. Mendoza

Josan

32 A. Boayar

A. Houary

R. Mir

Bench (11)

13 I. Pena

45 A. Iturbe

3 A. Pedrosa

7 Y. Santiago

8 M. Aguado

16 M. Neto

21 L. Petrot

34 M. Nordin

31 D. Delgado

29 Piri

39 H. Fort

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

29. Oct CDR 10 months ago

13. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

J Guzman · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

6,2 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

24,2 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,67 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Quintanar del Rey

Elche

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee