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KNVB Beker

Referee: D Makkelie

Zwolle

S T S U S

1–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

5 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hsc 21	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Hoogeveen	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Hoek	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Sportlust '46	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	SC Genemuiden	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Excelsior Maassluis	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Dovo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
17	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
18	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
20	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
23	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
52	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	2
53	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
61	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
62	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
98	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
103	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoek	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Sportlust '46	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
11	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Dovo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
36	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.