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Copa del Rey
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Guijuelo
S
1–2
Full-time
Villarreal
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guijuelo Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,7
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
9,0
Scored
2,0
9,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+9,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

28% Possession 72%
9 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 0
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guijuelo 21. · Villarreal 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
5 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Real Unión 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
55 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Mérida AD 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Alcorcon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
77 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guijuelo Villarreal
1–0 Pepe Carmona ⚽
Álex Caramelo
14′
C. Quintana 🟥
26′
41′
⚽ Gerard Moreno 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Álvaro Montero 🔁
↦ Álex Caramelo
59′
65′
🔁 F. Coquelin
↦ Manu Trigueros
65′
🔁 É. Capoue
↦ Álex Baena
71′
🔁 N. Jackson
↦ S. Chukwueze
Piojo 🔁
↦ Pepe Carmona
79′
Álex Lorenzo 🔁
↦ Garban
79′
Rodri Flórez 🔁
↦ Álvaro Coque
84′
88′
🔁 Dani Parejo
↦ Manu Morlanes
88′
🔁 A. Danjuma
↦ Yeremy Pino
93′
⚽ A. Danjuma 1–2
Dani Parejo
S. Perea 🔁
↦ Davo Lorenzo
96′
G. Ibanez 🟨
97′
A. Lorenzo 🟥
103′
Trapero 🟨
104′
I. Aizpiri 🟨
114′
R. Gutierrez 🟨
119′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Guijuelo

4-3-3
1 Roberto Gutiérrez G
22 Álvaro Coque D
5 Isma Aizpiri D
4 Trapero D
2 Davo Lorenzo D
20 Toti M
10 Cristóbal Gil M
8 Pepe Carmona F
16 Willy Ibáñez M
14 Garban F
11 Álex Caramelo F
Bench (9)
9 Álvaro Montero
7 Piojo
21 Álex Lorenzo
3 Rodri Flórez
18 S. Perea
13 J. Guzmán
17 M. Tata
19 Adrián García
15 Carlos Quintana

Coach: Mario Sánchez

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
1 Pepe Reina G
2 Kiko Femenía D
23 A. Mandi D
12 J. Mojica D
4 Pau Torres D
14 Manu Trigueros M
20 Manu Morlanes M
11 S. Chukwueze M
16 Álex Baena M
21 Yeremy Pino M
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (11)
19 F. Coquelin
6 É. Capoue
15 N. Jackson
10 Dani Parejo
9 A. Danjuma
38 Marcos Sánchez
37 Carlos Romero
5 Jorge Cuenca
27 Diego Collado
31 Iker Álvarez
35 F. Jörgensen

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.