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Copa del Rey
Referee: Juan Pulido
Real Unión
S
0–1
Full-time
Mallorca
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Unión Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
6,0
Scored
3,0
6,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+6,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Unión 34. · Mallorca 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
5 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Real Unión 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
55 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Mérida AD 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Alcorcon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
77 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Unión Mallorca
20′
⚽ Dani Rodríguez 0–1
J. A. Perez 🟨
24′
24′
🟨 A. Raillo
Half-time 0–1
Nacho Sánchez 🔁
↦ Jon Ander
75′
A. Montoro 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 T. Kadewere
↦ Lee Kang-In
82′
🟨 V. Muriqi
Antxón Jaso 🔁
↦ Quique Rivero
83′
Mario Capelete 🔁
↦ Antonio Montoro
83′
Carlos Bravo 🔁
↦ Aitor Seguín
84′
85′
🔁 Ángel
↦ V. Muriqi
91′
🟨 A. Rodriguez
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Real Unión

3-5-2
1 Txusta G
5 Iván Pérez D
4 Antonio Montoro D
16 J. Aramburu M
17 Espigares D
10 Quique Rivero M
8 Aitor Seguín M
21 Chema Núñez M
15 Julen Azkue M
11 Alain Oyarzun F
9 Jon Ander F
Bench (10)
23 Nacho Sánchez
2 Antxón Jaso
7 Mario Capelete
22 Carlos Bravo
20 Julián Luque
25 Iker Iza
14 Víctor Parada
28 Julen Aguirre
6 Beobide
19 G. Gagua

Coach: David Movilla

Mallorca

3-4-3
13 D. Greif G
18 Jaume Costa M
2 M. Nastasić D
21 Raíllo D
24 M. Valjent D
20 G. González M
14 Dani Rodríguez F
4 Ruíz de Galarreta M
12 I. Baba M
19 Lee Kang-In F
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (11)
17 T. Kadewere
22 Ángel
15 Pablo Maffeo
8 C. Grenier
3 B. Cufré
9 Abdón Prats
10 Antonio Sánchez
6 Copete
5 F. Russo
31 Leo Román
16 R. Battaglia

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Juan Pulido · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.