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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Ath Bilbao

S U T U T

1–0

Full-time

Villarreal

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 27%

36%

18%

Average goals

2,8

1,9

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

19 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Villarreal 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+19	32
2	Barcelona	12	10	1	1	+25	31
3	Ath Madrid	12	7	2	3	+8	23
4	Sociedad	11	7	1	3	+3	22
5	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
6	Osasuna	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Ath Bilbao	11	5	3	3	+7	18
8	Villarreal	11	5	3	3	+7	18
9	Vallecano	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Valencia	12	4	3	5	+4	15
11	Valladolid	12	4	2	6	-6	14
12	Mallorca	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	Almeria	12	4	1	7	-5	13
14	Espanol	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Celta	12	3	2	7	-11	11
16	Girona	12	2	4	6	-4	10
17	Getafe	11	2	4	5	-8	10
18	Sevilla	12	2	4	6	-8	10
19	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	-16	10
20	Elche	11	0	4	7	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	Betis	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Osasuna	7	5	0	2	+4	15
4	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Almeria	6	4	0	2	+4	12
6	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+7	10
7	Valencia	7	3	1	3	+5	10
8	Vallecano	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+4	10
10	Valladolid	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+0	10
12	Girona	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Ath Madrid	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-8	6
16	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Getafe	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Elche	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+10	15
4	Sociedad	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Ath Bilbao	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+0	8
7	Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Espanol	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Betis	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Cadiz	5	1	1	3	-8	4
17	Celta	6	1	0	5	-11	3
18	Girona	6	0	2	4	-4	2
19	Elche	6	0	2	4	-11	2
20	Almeria	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.