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Conference League
Referee: N Verboomen
Lech Poznan
S T U U T
3–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 61%
36%
86%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
36%
71%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,9
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27% Possession 73%
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -22 Villarreal – Lech Poznan 4–3

Match report

Lech Poznan Villarreal
1–0 K. Velde ⚽
27′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Skóraś ⚽
K. Velde
51′
68′
🔁 Alberto Moreno
↦ J. Mojica
68′
🔁 A. Danjuma
↦ José Luis Morales
72′
🟨 Manu Trigueros
A. Czerwiński 🔁
↦ K. Velde
73′
F. Szymczak 🔁
↦ F. Marchwiński
73′
77′
🔁 Dani Parejo
↦ Manu Morlanes
77′
🔁 É. Capoue
↦ F. Coquelin
77′
🔁 Kiko Femenía
↦ Dela
3–0 M. Skóraś ⚽
M. Ishak
77′
F. Dagerstål 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
88′
B. Salamon 🔁
↦ N. Kvekveskiri
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
23 K. Velde M
22 R. Murawski M
30 N. Kvekveskiri M
21 M. Skóraś M
11 F. Marchwiński F
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (12)
44 A. Czerwiński
17 F. Szymczak
25 F. Dagerstål
18 B. Salamon
1 A. Rudko
7 Afonso Sousa
24 João Amaral
14 G. Tsitaishvili
90 A. Sobiech
27 M. Żukowski
20 M. Pingot
50 A. Ba Loua

Coach: J. van den Brom

Villarreal

4-3-3
1 Pepe Reina G
37 Dela D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
12 J. Mojica D
19 F. Coquelin M
20 Manu Morlanes M
14 Manu Trigueros M
21 Yeremy Pino F
15 N. Jackson F
22 José Luis Morales F
Bench (10)
18 Alberto Moreno
9 A. Danjuma
10 Dani Parejo
6 É. Capoue
2 Kiko Femenía
4 Pau Torres
31 Iker Álvarez
28 Carlo Adriano
13 G. Rulli
11 S. Chukwueze

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.