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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Mallorca

T T S U S

1–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

31%

54%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

23%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

62%

Average goals

1,9

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mallorca 12. · Ath Madrid 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	12	1	1	+28	37
2	Real Madrid	13	10	2	1	+18	32
3	Sociedad	14	8	2	4	+2	26
4	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+10	24
5	Ath Madrid	13	7	3	3	+8	24
6	Betis	13	7	3	3	+8	24
7	Osasuna	14	7	2	5	+2	23
8	Villarreal	14	6	3	5	+5	21
9	Vallecano	13	6	3	4	+4	21
10	Valladolid	14	5	2	7	-8	17
11	Valencia	13	4	4	5	+4	16
12	Mallorca	13	4	4	5	-1	16
13	Girona	14	4	4	6	-2	16
14	Almeria	14	5	1	8	-6	16
15	Getafe	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Espanol	14	2	6	6	-6	12
17	Sevilla	14	2	5	7	-9	11
18	Celta	13	3	2	8	-12	11
19	Cadiz	13	2	5	6	-16	11
20	Elche	14	0	4	10	-21	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Betis	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Almeria	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Osasuna	8	5	0	3	+3	15
6	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
7	Vallecano	6	4	1	1	+5	13
8	Valladolid	7	4	1	2	+2	13
9	Girona	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Sociedad	7	3	2	2	-2	11
11	Valencia	7	3	1	3	+5	10
12	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+5	10
13	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Celta	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-8	6
17	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Espanol	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Sevilla	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Elche	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Sociedad	7	5	0	2	+4	15
5	Mallorca	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Villarreal	9	3	2	4	+0	11
7	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Betis	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Osasuna	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Sevilla	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Valencia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Girona	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Cadiz	6	1	2	3	-8	5
17	Valladolid	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Celta	6	1	0	5	-11	3
19	Elche	7	0	2	5	-12	2
20	Almeria	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.