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Copa del Rey
Referee: Miguel Ortiz
Real Unión
3–2
Full-time
Cadiz
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 9
3 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Diocesano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Intercity 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
50 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Mérida AD 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Alcorcon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
71 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
72 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Unión Cadiz
15′
⚽ Lucas Pérez 0–1
S. Arzamendia
1–1 Nacho Sánchez ⚽
Aitor Seguín
16′
44′
🟨 Álvaro Negredo
Half-time 1–1
Chema Núñez 🔁
↦ Julen Aguirre
46′
46′
🔁 T. Alarcón
↦ José Mari
46′
🔁 Alejo
↦ Isaac Carcelén
60′
⚽ Álvaro Negredo 1–2
61′
🔁 M. Diarra
↦ T. Bongonda
69′
🔁 Álvaro Giménez
↦ Álvaro Negredo
73′
🟨 Antonio Blanco
G. Gagua 🔁
↦ Alain Oyarzun
74′
Mario Capelete 🔁
↦ Aitor Seguín
74′
77′
🔁 B. Ocampo
↦ A. Mabil
2–2 Iván Pérez ⚽
Quique Rivero
79′
Chema Núñez 🟨
87′
Antxón Jaso 🔁
↦ Espigares
89′
3–2 Nacho Sánchez ⚽
Quique Rivero
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Real Unión

4-3-3
13 Joel Jiménez G
3 Kijera D
5 Iván Pérez
4 Antonio Montoro M
16 J. Aramburu D
17 Espigares
10 Quique Rivero M
8 Aitor Seguín F
28 Julen Aguirre
11 Alain Oyarzun F
23 Nacho Sánchez F
Bench (9)
21 Chema Núñez
19 G. Gagua
7 Mario Capelete
2 Antxón Jaso
1 Txusta
20 Julián Luque
26 Ander Herrero
18 Miguel Santos
14 Víctor Parada

Coach: Aitor Zulaika

Cadiz

4-4-2
13 David Gil G
23 Luis Hernández D
20 Isaac Carcelén D
21 S. Arzamendia D
37 L. Spatz D
6 José Mari M
36 Antonio Blanco M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
15 Lucas Pérez F
17 A. Mabil M
10 T. Bongonda M
Bench (11)
12 T. Alarcón
11 Alejo
29 M. Diarra
19 Álvaro Giménez
14 B. Ocampo
39 M. Diakité
3 Fali Jiménez
9 A. Lozano
38 Álvaro Bastida
35 Kikín
1 J. Ledesma

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Miguel Ortiz · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.