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Copa del Rey

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Numancia

T S T S S

0–3

Full-time

Sp Gijon

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Numancia Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Numancia 29. · Sp Gijon 32. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Intercity	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
55	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
56	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Arnedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Burgos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
75	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
76	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
77	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
19	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Arnedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
31	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Celta	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Burgos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.