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LaLiga2
Numancia
T S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Numancia Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
35%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
30%
22%
Both score Ø 39%
43%
35%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 5
19 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Numancia 7. · Sp Gijon 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 23 13 6 4 +12 45
2 Almeria 23 11 9 3 +19 42
3 Zaragoza 23 11 6 6 +10 39
4 Huesca 23 12 3 8 +8 39
5 Fuenlabrada 24 9 10 5 +5 37
6 Girona 23 10 4 9 +2 34
7 Numancia 23 8 9 6 +4 33
8 Las Palmas 23 9 6 8 +1 33
9 Mirandes 23 8 9 6 -1 33
10 Elche 23 8 8 7 +3 32
11 Vallecano 22 7 10 5 +5 31
12 Ponferradina 23 7 10 6 +4 31
13 Alcorcon 23 6 11 6 -1 29
14 Sp Gijon 23 7 7 9 -2 28
15 Albacete 22 8 4 10 -9 28
16 Malaga 24 5 12 7 -1 27
17 Oviedo 23 5 8 10 -8 23
18 Tenerife 23 5 7 11 -5 22
19 Extremadura UD 23 5 7 11 -11 22
20 Lugo 23 4 10 9 -13 22
21 La Coruna 23 4 9 10 -16 21
22 Santander 23 2 13 8 -6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -19 Sp Gijon – Numancia 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
U
2,94
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.