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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz
Vallecano
T S T U U
5–1
Full-time
Cadiz
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
30%
10%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,4
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
28 Shots 3
11 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Vallecano 10. · Cadiz 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 9 1 0 +17 28
2 Barcelona 10 8 1 1 +20 25
3 Sociedad 10 7 1 2 +4 22
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +8 20
5 Betis 10 6 2 2 +7 20
6 Ath Bilbao 10 5 3 2 +11 18
7 Osasuna 10 5 1 4 +0 16
8 Valencia 10 4 3 3 +6 15
9 Villarreal 10 4 3 3 +6 15
10 Vallecano 10 3 3 4 -2 12
11 Valladolid 10 3 2 5 -5 11
12 Sevilla 10 2 4 4 -5 10
13 Almeria 10 3 1 6 -6 10
14 Celta 10 3 1 6 -9 10
15 Mallorca 10 2 3 5 -4 9
16 Espanol 10 2 3 5 -5 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 -8 9
18 Girona 10 2 2 6 -4 8
19 Cadiz 10 1 4 5 -13 7
20 Elche 10 0 3 7 -18 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Cadiz
Óscar Trejo 🟨
31′
37′
🟨 Rubén Sobrino
Álvaro García ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
42′
42′
🟥 Isaac Carcelén
1–0 Isi Palazón
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Fali Jiménez
↦ Álex
2–0 Álvaro García
Catena
47′
52′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
56′
🔁 A. Lozano
↦ B. Ocampo
56′
🔁 Lucas Pérez
↦ Álvaro Negredo
61′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
61′
🟥 Rubén Alcaraz
3–0 F. Lejeune
63′
R. Nteka 🔁
↦ Ó. Trejo
64′
66′
🔁 Antonio Blanco
↦ Sobrino
Pep Chavarría 🔁
↦ Álvaro García
70′
Unai López 🔁
↦ Óscar Valentín
70′
74′
🟨 Lucas Pérez
4–0 Sergio Camello
Isi Palazón
79′
Salvi 🔁
↦ Isi Palazón
80′
P. Ciss 🔁
↦ Santi Comesaña
81′
81′
🔁 A. Mabil
↦ Fede
82′
I. Balliu 5–0
own goal
Randy Nteka 🟥
87′
Randy Nteka ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
87′
6–0 F. Lejeune
Sergio Camello
89′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu D
19 F. Lejeune D
5 Catena D
3 Fran García D
7 Isi Palazón M
23 Óscar Valentín M
6 Santi Comesaña M
18 Álvaro García M
8 Ó. Trejo F
34 Sergio Camello F
Bench (12)
11 R. Nteka
15 Pep Chavarría
17 Unai López
14 Salvi
21 P. Ciss
24 E. Saveljich
2 Mario Hernández
16 A. Mumin
22 José Ángel Pozo
10 Bebé
4 Mario Suárez
13 Diego López

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Isaac Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
32 Víctor Chust D
22 A. Espino D
7 Sobrino M
24 Fede M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
14 B. Ocampo M
8 Álex F
18 Álvaro Negredo F
Bench (12)
3 Fali Jiménez
9 A. Lozano
15 Lucas Pérez
36 Antonio Blanco
17 A. Mabil
12 T. Alarcón
10 T. Bongonda
19 Álvaro Giménez
16 Juan Cala
26 Victor Aznar
21 S. Arzamendia
6 José Mari

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,58
B
5,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.