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Copa del Rey

Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera

Gimnastic

S S

1–2

Full-time

Osasuna

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gimnastic Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

4,5

Scored

2,0

3,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%

13 Shots 27

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 11

5 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Gimnastic 16. · Osasuna 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+9	9
5	Levante	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Sp Gijon	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
9	Ceuta	3	3	0	0	+3	9
10	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+3	9
11	Celta	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Valladolid	3	2	0	1	+5	6
13	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Elche	3	2	0	1	+5	6
15	Cacereño	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Gimnastic	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Intercity	3	2	0	1	+2	6
21	Pontevedra	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Oviedo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
23	Linares Deportivo	3	2	0	1	-3	6
24	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
25	Eldense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	UD Logroñés	3	1	1	1	+1	4
27	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
30	La Nucía	3	1	1	1	-1	4
31	Cartagena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
32	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Numancia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
59	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
60	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Mérida AD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
74	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
75	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
76	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
77	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
78	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
79	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
80	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ceuta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Intercity	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Pontevedra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
26	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
27	Linares Deportivo	2	1	0	1	-4	3
28	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
29	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
37	UD Logroñés	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
39	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
41	La Nucía	2	0	1	1	-3	1
42	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
43	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+9	9
5	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Celta	3	2	0	1	+6	6
7	Valladolid	3	2	0	1	+5	6
8	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Elche	3	2	0	1	+5	6
10	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
51	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
52	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gimnastic Osasuna

-5′

🟨 Rubén Peña

16′

⚽ Kike García 0–1

41′

🟨 David García

Half-time 0–1

Ander Gorostidi 🔁

↦ Pedro Del Campo

46′

Pablo Fernández 🔁

↦ Marc Fernández

46′

Álex Quintanilla 🔁

↦ Josema Gómez

46′

A. Lupu 🔁

↦ Guillermo Fernández

60′

63′

🔁 Diego Moreno

↦ Rubén Peña

Alex Quintanilla 🟨

65′

68′

🔁 Aimar Oroz

↦ Kike Barja

69′

🔁 A. Ezzalzouli

↦ E. Ávila

Ander Gorostidi 🟨

70′

M. Pochettino 🔁

↦ Marc Álvarez

73′

74′

🟨 Darko Brašanac

1–1 Pablo Fernández ⚽

M. Pochettino

78′

79′

🔁 A. Budimir

↦ Kike García

79′

🔁 Moi Gómez

↦ Rubén García

Joan Oriol 🟨

84′

Pablo Fernández 🟥

84′

90′

🔁 Moncayola

↦ D. Brašanac

Andrei Lupu 🟨

96′

Nil Jiménez 🔁

↦ Javier Bonilla

105′

Nil Jiménez 🟨

108′

112′

⚽ Èric Montes 2–1

own goal

119′

🟥 Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gimnastic

4-2-3-1

13 Dani Parra G

4 Pol Domingo D

23 Èric Montes D

15 Josema Gómez D

21 Joan Oriol D

8 Pedro Del Campo M

12 Marc Montalvo M

29 Marc Álvarez M

22 Marc Fernández M

3 Javier Bonilla M

19 Guillermo Fernández F

Bench (11)

6 Ander Gorostidi

17 Pablo Fernández

14 Álex Quintanilla

9 A. Lupu

16 M. Pochettino

18 Nil Jiménez

20 A. Țîrlea

26 Víctor Valverde

11 Andy

5 Marc Trilles

1 Manu García

Coach: Raúl Agné

Osasuna

4-2-3-1

Sergio Herrera G

Rubén Peña D

23 Aridane D

5 David García D

Manu Sánchez D

Pablo Ibáñez M

8 D. Brašanac M

9 E. Ávila M

Rubén García M

Kike Barja M

18 Kike García F

Bench (11)

35 Diego Moreno

22 Aimar Oroz

12 A. Ezzalzouli

17 A. Budimir

16 Moi Gómez

7 Moncayola

13 Juan Pérez

4 Unai García

3 Juan Cruz

25 Aitor Fernández

6 Lucas Torró

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

22. Dec CDR 3 years ago

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,4 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

26,2 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Gimnastic

Osasuna

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee