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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Sociedad
T U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Osasuna
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
57%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
36%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 4. · Osasuna 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 12 2 1 +28 38
2 Real Madrid 15 12 2 1 +21 38
3 Ath Madrid 15 8 3 4 +9 27
4 Sociedad 14 8 2 4 +2 26
5 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 +10 25
6 Betis 15 7 4 4 +5 25
7 Vallecano 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 Osasuna 14 7 2 5 +2 23
9 Villarreal 14 6 3 5 +5 21
10 Valencia 14 5 4 5 +7 19
11 Mallorca 15 5 4 6 -2 19
12 Girona 15 4 5 6 -2 17
13 Almeria 15 5 2 8 -6 17
14 Getafe 15 4 5 6 -6 17
15 Valladolid 15 5 2 8 -10 17
16 Espanol 15 2 7 6 -6 13
17 Celta 15 3 4 8 -12 13
18 Sevilla 15 2 6 7 -9 12
19 Cadiz 15 2 6 7 -17 12
20 Elche 15 0 4 11 -23 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Osasuna
1–0 Brais Méndez
22′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Unai García
58′
🔁 Kike García
↦ Aimar Oroz
2–0 A. Sørloth
Brais Méndez
64′
65′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ Unai García
66′
🔁 D. Brašanac
↦ Lucas Torró
Brais Méndez 🟨
68′
Robert Navarro 🔁
↦ M. Cho
75′
77′
🔁 Kike Barja
↦ E. Ávila
78′
🔁 A. Ezzalzouli
↦ Juan Cruz
Illarramendi 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
80′
Gorosabel 🔁
↦ David Silva
80′
Ander Martín 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
80′
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ A. Sørloth
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-3-2
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
15 Diego Rico D
3 Martín Zubimendi M
14 T. Kubo M
23 Brais Méndez M
21 David Silva M
19 A. Sørloth F
11 M. Cho F
Bench (12)
17 Robert Navarro
4 Illarramendi
18 Gorosabel
28 Ander Martín
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
42 Pablo Marín
33 Jon Karrikaburu
32 Unai Marrero
20 Jon Pacheco
12 Aihen Muñoz
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
16 Guevara

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Osasuna

5-3-2
25 Aitor Fernández G
15 Rubén Peña D
4 Unai García D
5 David García D
3 Juan Cruz D
20 Manu Sánchez D
7 Moncayola M
6 Lucas Torró M
16 Moi Gómez M
9 E. Ávila F
22 Aimar Oroz F
Bench (12)
18 Kike García
14 Rubén García
8 D. Brašanac
11 Kike Barja
12 A. Ezzalzouli
23 Aridane
31 Jorge Herrando
10 Roberto Torres
19 Pablo Ibáñez
17 A. Budimir
1 Sergio Herrera
13 Juan Pérez

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,42
B
4,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.