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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Ad. Demirspor
U U U S T
6–0
Full-time
İstanbulspor
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor İstanbulspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
47%
20%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 4. · İstanbulspor 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 16 11 3 2 +16 36
2 Fenerbahce 16 11 2 3 +25 35
3 Buyuksehyr 16 9 4 3 +8 31
4 Ad. Demirspor 15 7 6 2 +10 27
5 Besiktas 15 7 5 3 +9 26
6 Konyaspor 16 6 8 2 +7 26
7 Trabzonspor 15 7 5 3 +2 26
8 Kayserispor 16 7 2 7 +1 23
9 Alanyaspor 17 5 6 6 -6 21
10 Karagumruk 16 5 4 7 +1 19
11 Giresunspor 15 5 4 6 -6 19
12 Gaziantep 16 4 6 6 -1 18
13 Kasimpasa 16 5 3 8 -10 18
14 Ankaragücü 16 4 4 8 -5 16
15 Antalyaspor 15 5 1 9 -7 16
16 Hatayspor 16 4 4 8 -14 16
17 Sivasspor 17 3 6 8 -6 15
18 Ümraniyespor 16 2 5 9 -10 11
19 İstanbulspor 15 3 2 10 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor İstanbulspor
26′
🟨 Okan Erdoğan
1–0 Y. Belhanda
29′
Younès Belhanda 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Y. Sarı
F. Gulbrandsen
49′
3–0 H. Onyekuru
Y. Belhanda
55′
60′
🔁 J. Topalli
↦ E. Gültekin
60′
🔁 O. Berber
↦ M. Ologo
61′
🔁 M. Yeşil
↦ O. Erdoğan
Fredrik Gulbrandsen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
65′
🟨 David Jensen
4–0 P. N'Diaye
65′
B. Stambouli 🔁
↦ P. NDiaye
68′
A. Dursun 🔁
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
68′
E. Akbaba 🔁
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
68′
74′
🔁 A. Čajič
↦ M. Sarıkaya
G. Töre 🔁
↦ Y. Sarı
79′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ Y. Belhanda
79′
5–0 H. Onyekuru
E. Akbaba
79′
6–0 G. Töre
E. Akbaba
82′
83′
🟨 Eduart Rroca
86′
🔁 A. Yaşar
↦ D. Aksu
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-4-2
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
15 J. Manev D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
26 Y. Sarı M
88 G. İnler M
17 P. N'Diaye M
7 H. Onyekuru M
10 Y. Belhanda F
23 F. Gulbrandsen F
Bench (10)
90 B. Stambouli
3 A. Dursun
20 E. Akbaba
30 G. Töre
8 B. Bjarnason
11 D. Akintola
50 E. Öztümer
39 V. Karakuş
70 B. Yıldız
16 İ. Çokçalış

Coach: V. Montella

İstanbulspor

4-1-4-1
1 D. Jensen G
21 D. Duhaney D
50 M. Ologo D
23 O. Erdoğan D
3 D. Aksu D
57 M. Kabasakal M
19 E. Gültekin M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
10 E. Rroca M
27 V. Ethemi M
9 İ. Yılmaz F
Bench (10)
98 J. Topalli
13 O. Berber
4 M. Yeşil
11 A. Čajič
66 A. Yaşar
77 K. Bağış
26 M. Serbest
18 V. Temel
44 Y. Özer
88 A. Mehremić

Coach: F. Tekke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,70
B
6,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.