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Copa del Rey
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Real Ávila
0–0
Full-time
Oviedo
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
17 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
45 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
55 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Ávila Oviedo
C. Pascual 🟨
12′
A. Martin 🟨
21′
Safrai 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
Vitolo 🔁
↦ Adilson
46′
César Llopis 🔁
↦ I. Doumbia
46′
Adri Carrión 🔁
↦ Fer Díaz
57′
58′
🔁 S. Colombatto
↦ Masca
58′
🔁 Álvaro Lemos
↦ Adrián Lopes
58′
🔁 I. Chaira
↦ H. Hassan
68′
🔁 Dani Calvo
↦ Oier Luengo
Caio Lopes 🔁
↦ Jorge Campos
71′
76′
🔁 Alemão
↦ K. Sibo
D. Ochoa 🔁
↦ Alpha
80′
A. G. Moreno 🟨
81′
94′
🔁 Santi Miguélez
↦ D. Paraschiv
Ayoub 🔁
↦ Álex Moreno
97′
104′
🟨 D. Calvo
A. Carrion 🟨
120′
121′
❌ S. Colombatto
penalty missed
121′
❌ S. Colombatto
penalty missed
121′
❌ S. Colombatto
penalty missed
121′
❌ S. Colombatto
penalty missed
121′
❌ S. Colombatto
penalty missed
121′
❌ S. Colombatto
penalty missed
1–0 Alberto Martín ⚽
122′
123′
❌ Álvaro Lemos
penalty missed
123′
❌ Álvaro Lemos
penalty missed
123′
❌ Álvaro Lemos
penalty missed
123′
❌ Álvaro Lemos
penalty missed
123′
❌ Álvaro Lemos
penalty missed
123′
❌ Álvaro Lemos
penalty missed
2–0 Adri Carrión ⚽
124′
125′
❌ Sebas Moyano
penalty missed
125′
❌ Sebas Moyano
penalty missed
125′
❌ Sebas Moyano
penalty missed
125′
❌ Sebas Moyano
penalty missed
125′
❌ Sebas Moyano
penalty missed
125′
❌ Sebas Moyano
penalty missed
3–0 Mario Rivas ⚽
126′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Real Ávila

1 Álvaro de Pablo
5 Carlos Pascual
2 I. Doumbia
19 Alpha
14 Alberto Martín
22 Fer Díaz
6 Adilson
21 Álex Moreno
9 Mario Rivas
7 Jorge Campos
11 Toper
Bench (11)
15 César Llopis
23 Vitolo
20 Adri Carrión
24 Caio Lopes
17 D. Ochoa
18 Ayoub
3 Pedro Méndez
13 Ñete
12 Cássio Júnior
28 B. Lo
27 Pedro Luz

Coach: Miguel de la Fuente

Oviedo

1 Q. Braat
24 Lucas Ahijado
15 Oier Luengo
29 Jaime Vázquez
32 Adrián Lopes
7 Sebas Moyano
6 K. Sibo
27 Álex Cardero
23 H. Hassan
14 D. Paraschiv
17 Masca
Bench (8)
16 I. Chaira
2 Álvaro Lemos
11 S. Colombatto
12 Dani Calvo
9 Alemão
28 Santi Miguélez
26 Miguel Narváez
30 Marco Esteban

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.