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Copa del Rey
Referee: Germán Cid
Zaragoza
S U U U T
2–2
Full-time
Granada
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
2,0
Scored
5,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

41% Possession 59%
24 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
28 Free kicks against 21
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 12. · Granada 28. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Elche 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +5 3
5 Betis 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Estepona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Ejea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Parla Escuela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
55 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 Manises 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
59 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Real Ávila 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
70 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
72 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Jove Español 1 0 0 1 -5 0
120 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Nov -24 Zaragoza – Granada 2–1 8. Apr -23 Zaragoza – Granada 1–0 21. Oct -22 Granada – Zaragoza 1–0

Match report

Zaragoza Granada
A. Mari 🟨
17′
1–0 Adu Ares ⚽
Iván Calero
18′
35′
🟨 L. Perez
P. Sans 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 L. Williams
42′
⚽ S. Weissman 1–1
Sergio Rodelas
45′
⚽ Enrique Clemente 2–1
own goal
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Miguel Brau
↦ Lucas Perez
Lluís López 🔁
↦ Bernardo Vital
46′
D. Tasende 🟨
47′
3–1 Adu Ares ⚽
Marc Aguado
48′
Adrian Liso 🔁
↦ Pau Sans
62′
Marcos Luna 🔁
↦ Dani Tasende
62′
70′
🔁 G. Tsitaishvili
↦ T. Corbeanu
71′
🔁 Gonzalo Villar
↦ Manu Trigueros
K. Bare 🔁
↦ Marc Aguado
77′
82′
🔁 Miguel Rubio
↦ Manu Lama
82′
🔁 K. Jóźwiak
↦ Sergio Rodelas
Aitor Mañas 🔁
↦ Alberto Marí
84′
A. Manas 🟨
92′
98′
🟨 M. Rubio
101′
🔁 O. Oppong
↦ Loïc Williams
Francho Serrano 🔁
↦ Toni Moya
102′
I. Calero 🟨
108′
108′
🟨 S. Weissman
K. Bare 🟨
108′
120′
🟨 S. Ruiz
121′
⚽ Gonzalo Villar 3–2
4–2 Francho Serrano ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ Sergio Ruiz 4–3
5–3 Iván Calero ⚽
124′
125′
❌ S. Weissman
penalty missed
125′
❌ S. Weissman
penalty missed
125′
❌ S. Weissman
penalty missed
125′
❌ S. Weissman
penalty missed
125′
❌ S. Weissman
penalty missed
125′
❌ S. Weissman
penalty missed
126′
⚽ L. Zidane 5–4
6–4 Marcos Luna ⚽
127′
Enrique Clemente ❌
penalty missed
128′
Enrique Clemente ❌
penalty missed
128′
Enrique Clemente ❌
penalty missed
128′
Enrique Clemente ❌
penalty missed
128′
Enrique Clemente ❌
penalty missed
128′
Enrique Clemente ❌
penalty missed
128′
129′
⚽ G. Tsitaishvili 6–5
7–5 K. Bare ⚽
130′
131′
⚽ Miguel Rubio 7–6
Aitor Mañas ❌
penalty missed
132′
Aitor Mañas ❌
penalty missed
132′
Aitor Mañas ❌
penalty missed
132′
Aitor Mañas ❌
penalty missed
132′
Aitor Mañas ❌
penalty missed
132′
Aitor Mañas ❌
penalty missed
132′
Full-time 7–6

Line-ups

Zaragoza

5-4-1
25 Joan Femenías G
19 Iván Calero D
15 Bernardo Vital D
3 Jair Amador D
5 Enrique Clemente D
4 Dani Tasende D
29 Pau Sans M
21 Toni Moya M
8 Marc Aguado M
20 Adu Ares M
22 Alberto Marí F
Bench (11)
24 Lluís López
33 Adrian Liso
2 Marcos Luna
6 K. Bare
30 Aitor Mañas
14 Francho Serrano
10 Sergio Bermejo
26 Gori
1 C. Álvarez
31 Juan Carlos
7 Mario Soberón

Coach: Victor Fernández

Granada

3-5-2
1 L. Zidane G
16 Manu Lama D
24 Loïc Williams D
34 Lucas Perez D
12 Ricard Sánchez M
17 T. Corbeanu M
20 Sergio Ruiz M
23 Manu Trigueros M
26 Sergio Rodelas M
30 Siren Diao F
9 S. Weissman F
Bench (11)
3 Miguel Brau
11 G. Tsitaishvili
8 Gonzalo Villar
18 K. Jóźwiak
4 Miguel Rubio
28 O. Oppong
25 Diego Mariño
2 Rubén Sánchez
6 M. Hongla
19 Reinier
22 Pablo Sáenz

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Germán Cid · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.