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Copa del Rey
Referee: Javier Alberola
0–5
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Deportiva Minera Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,5
4,3
Scored
3,5
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

34% Possession 66%
4 Shots 33
1 Shots on target 21
0 Blocked shots 4
17 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 9
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celta 3 3 0 0 +12 9
2 Vallecano 3 3 0 0 +8 9
3 Betis 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 Elche 3 3 0 0 +8 9
5 Sociedad 3 3 0 0 +8 9
6 Osasuna 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 Pontevedra 3 3 0 0 +7 9
8 Almeria 3 3 0 0 +5 9
9 Ath Madrid 3 3 0 0 +5 9
10 Ourense CF 3 3 0 0 +3 9
11 Getafe 3 2 1 0 +4 7
12 Leganes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
13 Valladolid 3 2 0 1 +4 6
14 Las Palmas 3 2 0 1 +4 6
15 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Barbastro 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Huesca 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Eldense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 Santander 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 Ferrol 3 2 0 1 +1 6
22 Cartagena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
23 Marbella 3 2 0 1 +1 6
24 UD Logroñés 3 1 2 0 +1 5
25 Deportiva Minera 2 1 1 0 +5 4
26 Zaragoza 2 1 1 0 +4 4
27 Girona 2 1 1 0 +4 4
28 Estepona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Granada 3 1 1 1 +1 4
30 Tenerife 3 1 1 1 +1 4
31 Alaves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
32 Castellon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
33 Zamora 2 1 1 0 +1 4
34 Orihuela 2 1 1 0 +1 4
35 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +5 3
36 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 +4 3
37 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
38 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 1 0 1 +3 3
39 Burgos 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
41 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
42 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
43 Barakaldo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Cultural Leonesa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Europa Fc 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Gimnastic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Parla Escuela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Conquense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Cacereño 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Manises 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Sant Andreu 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 Ejea 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
59 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 Salamanca UDS 2 1 0 1 -6 3
61 Ponferradina 3 0 2 1 -2 2
62 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Olot 2 0 1 1 -2 1
70 Real Ávila 2 0 1 1 -2 1
71 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
72 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
73 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
74 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Mallorca 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
122 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
123 Jove Español 1 0 0 1 -5 0
124 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Deportiva Minera Real Madrid
5′
F. Valverde 0–1
Juan Miguel Heredero 🟨
10′
13′
E. Camavinga 0–2
Fran García
28′
A. Güler 0–3
F. Valverde
Half-time 0–3
S. Baradji 🔁
↦ Monty
46′
Diego de Diego 🔁
↦ Juanmi Heredero
46′
46′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ F. Valverde
55′
L. Modrić 0–4
Brahim Díaz
Sergio Cortado 🔁
↦ Francis Ferrón
62′
Domi Pujante 🔁
↦ Pipo
62′
63′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ Lorenzo Aguado
63′
🔁 K. Mbappé
↦ E. Camavinga
63′
🔁 Chema Andrés
↦ Brahim Díaz
63′
🔁 Vinícius Júnior
↦ L. Modrić
Raúl Sanchís 🔁
↦ Javi Vera
77′
88′
A. Güler 0–5
Fran García
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Deportiva Minera

4-1-4-1
1 Fran Martínez G
24 José Mas D
14 Monty D
5 Francisco Molina D
3 Juanmi Heredero D
15 D. Petcoff M
6 Javi Vera M
19 Omar Perdomo M
8 C. Britos M
23 Pipo M
9 Francis Ferrón F
Bench (11)
11 S. Baradji
20 Diego de Diego
17 Sergio Cortado
10 Domi Pujante
18 Raúl Sanchís
4 Julio Algar
27 Antonio Blaya
12 Manuel Rodriguez
21 Arturo
13 Oleg Oliynyk
7 Feli Martínez

Coach: José Pérez

Real Madrid

4-3-3
13 A. Lunin G
39 Lorenzo Aguado D
35 Raúl Asencio D
43 Diego Aguado D
20 Fran García D
8 F. Valverde M
6 E. Camavinga M
10 L. Modrić M
15 A. Güler F
16 Endrick F
21 Brahim Díaz F
Bench (11)
19 Dani Ceballos
17 Lucas Vázquez
9 K. Mbappé
36 Chema Andrés
7 Vinícius Júnior
23 F. Mendy
14 A. Tchouaméni
26 Fran González
5 J. Bellingham
30 Gonzalo García
11 Rodrygo

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.