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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
Panetolikos
T U S T U
0–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
41%
59%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
29%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
41%
47%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

33% Possession 67%
4 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 8. · Olympiakos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 18 11 4 3 +21 37
2 Panathinaikos 18 10 6 2 +8 36
3 Olympiakos 17 10 4 3 +16 34
4 PAOK 18 10 3 5 +13 33
5 OFI Crete 19 8 5 6 +3 29
6 Aris Thessalonikis 17 8 3 6 +1 27
7 Aris 17 8 3 6 +1 27
8 Panetolikos 17 7 5 5 +4 26
9 Asteras Tripolis 19 7 5 7 +1 26
10 Atromitos 19 5 5 9 -5 20
11 Volos NFC 18 6 2 10 -15 20
12 Levadeiakos 18 3 8 7 -8 17
13 Panserraikos 19 5 2 12 -12 17
14 Athens Kallithea 18 1 9 8 -13 12
15 Lamia 18 1 6 11 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Olympiakos
Facundo Pérez 🟨
27′
Daniel Lajud 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
47′
ℹ️ Kristoffer Velde
VAR: Penalty confirmed
50′
🟨 Ayoub El Kaabi
50′
A. El Kaabi 0–1
Facundo Pérez 🟨
51′
Facundo Pérez 🟥
51′
Miguel Luís 🔁
↦ I. Bouzoukis
63′
A. Roa 🔁
↦ Daniel Lajud
63′
C. Belevonis 🔁
↦ N. Stajić
64′
70′
Chiquinho 0–2
Rodinei
71′
🔁 C. Kostoulas
↦ C. Mouzakitis
72′
🔁 Dani García
↦ Gelson Martins
G. Agapakis 🔁
↦ C. Mavrias
81′
81′
🔁 A. Papakanellos
↦ S. Hezze
81′
🔁 M. Stamenić
↦ K. Velde
E. Nikolaou 🔁
↦ A. Majdevac
82′
85′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ A. El Kaabi
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Panetolikos

3-5-2
13 L. Chaves G
16 C. Shielis D
4 E. Pantelakis D
49 N. Stajić D
35 C. Mavrias M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
10 F. Pérez M
54 G. Liavas M
24 P. Silva M
11 Daniel Lajud F
7 A. Majdevac F
Bench (9)
90 Miguel Luís
20 A. Roa
8 C. Belevonis
23 G. Agapakis
77 E. Nikolaou
17 V. Kakonis
45 D. Galiatsos
1 M. Pardalos
6 S. Kontouris

Coach: G. Petrakis

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
4 G. Biancone D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
10 Gelson Martins M
22 Chiquinho M
11 K. Velde M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
84 C. Kostoulas
14 Dani García
64 A. Papakanellos
8 M. Stamenić
17 R. Yaremchuk
1 A. Paschalakis
45 P. Retsos
5 L. Pirola
20 Costinha

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,28
U
4,51
B ✓
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.