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Europa League
Referee: J Beaton
Sociedad
S S T T T
2–0
Full-time
PAOK
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
43%
56%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
71%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
71%
22%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,99 xG 1,41
55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sociedad PAOK
6′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
Álvaro Odriozola 🟨
39′
1–0 O. Óskarsson ⚽
S. Becker
43′
Half-time 1–0
Jon Martín 🔁
↦ Odriozola
46′
47′
ℹ️ Dominik Kotarski
VAR: Goal cancelled
2–0 O. Óskarsson ⚽
Aritz Elustondo
48′
49′
🟨 Brandon Thomas
Jon Olasagasti 🔁
↦ Martín Zubimendi
63′
63′
🔁 G. Konstantelias
↦ M. Ozdoev
71′
🔁 F. Chalov
↦ Brandon Thomas
71′
🔁 S. Shoretire
↦ K. Despodov
T. Kubo 🔁
↦ Barrenetxea
73′
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ O. Óskarsson
73′
Jon Ander Olasagasti 🟨
75′
Javi López 🔁
↦ Sergio Gómez
81′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-4-2
13 Unai Marrero G
2 Odriozola D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
21 N. Aguerd D
17 Sergio Gómez D
11 S. Becker M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
28 Pablo Marín M
7 Barrenetxea M
23 Brais Méndez F
9 O. Óskarsson F
Bench (12)
31 Jon Martín
16 Jon Olasagasti
14 T. Kubo
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
12 Javi López
24 L. Sučić
5 Zubeldia
8 A. Zakharyan
22 Beñat Turrientes
27 J. Aramburu
20 Jon Pacheco
1 Álex Remiro

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 S. Schwab M
77 K. Despodov M
2 Mady Camara M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (9)
7 G. Konstantelias
9 F. Chalov
47 S. Shoretire
99 A. Tsiftsis
90 D. Kottas
15 O. Colley
23 Joan Sastre
25 K. Thymianis
54 K. Balomenos

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.