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Coppa Italia
Referee: A Prontera
Inter
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Parma
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Torino 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Spezia 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Bari 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Cremonese 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Parma 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Monza 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Bologna 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Modena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 FeralpiSalo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
14 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Spal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Palermo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
18 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -3 3
19 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Perugia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Reggina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
34 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Padova 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Como 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Parma
26′
🔁 S. Jurić
↦ D. Man
38′
S. Jurić 0–1
S. Sohm
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Adrián Bernabé
F. Dimarco 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
66′
R. Bellanova 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
66′
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
66′
74′
🔁 D. Camara
↦ N. Estévez
74′
🔁 R. Inglese
↦ A. Benedyczak
79′
🟨 Drissa Camara
80′
🔁 A. Hainaut
↦ Adrián Bernabé
F. Acerbi 🔁
↦ D. DAmbrosio
81′
M. Darmian 🔁
↦ R. Gosens
81′
81′
🔁 V. Mihăilă
↦ S. Sohm
1–1 L. Martínez
88′
Federico Dimarco 🟨
105′
105′
🔁 A. Circati
↦ L. Valenti
2–1 F. Acerbi
110′
M. Škriniar 🔁
↦ J. Correa
113′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
5 R. Gagliardini M
14 K. Asllani M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
8 R. Gosens M
10 L. Martínez F
11 J. Correa F
Bench (14)
32 F. Dimarco
12 R. Bellanova
9 E. Džeko
15 F. Acerbi
36 M. Darmian
37 M. Škriniar
47 A. Fontanarosa
42 D. Curatolo
21 A. Cordaz
46 M. Zanotti
50 A. Stanković
49 I. Kamate
45 V. Carboni
31 Gabriel Brazão

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Parma

4-2-3-1
1 G. Buffon G
15 E. Del Prato D
4 B. Balogh D
3 Y. Osorio D
30 L. Valenti D
8 N. Estévez M
16 Adrián Bernabé M
98 D. Man M
19 S. Sohm M
7 A. Benedyczak M
10 F. Vázquez F
Bench (13)
24 S. Jurić
23 D. Camara
45 R. Inglese
20 A. Hainaut
28 V. Mihăilă
39 A. Circati
26 W. Coulibaly
40 E. Corvi
9 G. Charpentier
22 L. Chichizola
13 A. Bonny
11 G. Tutino
14 C. Ansaldi

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.