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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Le Havre
U S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Sochaux
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Sochaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 56%
59%
53%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
24%
59%
Both score Ø 38%
29%
47%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 1. · Sochaux 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 17 10 6 1 +19 36
2 Bordeaux 17 9 4 4 +11 31
3 Sochaux 17 9 3 5 +12 30
4 Amiens 17 8 3 6 +2 27
5 Grenoble 17 7 5 5 +1 26
6 Metz 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Caen 17 6 6 5 +2 24
8 Quevilly Rouen 17 6 6 5 +1 24
9 Valenciennes 17 6 6 5 +0 24
10 Paris FC 17 6 6 5 -1 24
11 Bastia 17 7 3 7 -4 24
12 Guingamp 17 6 5 6 -1 23
13 Pau FC 17 5 6 6 -5 21
14 Annecy 17 5 5 7 -1 20
15 Laval 17 6 2 9 -7 20
16 Dijon 17 4 6 7 -1 18
17 Rodez 17 4 6 7 -6 18
18 Nimes 17 4 4 9 -6 16
19 Niort 17 4 4 9 -13 16
20 St Etienne 17 3 6 8 -7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Sochaux
J. Thiaré 🔁
↦ N. Alioui
9′
13′
🟨 Saad Agouzoul
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Skelly Alvero
Arouna Sangante 🟨
67′
E. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ Q. Cornette
67′
68′
🔁 I. Sissoko
↦ A. Kalulu
68′
🔁 M. Doumbia
↦ M. Do Couto
N. Mbemba 🔁
↦ A. Richardson
76′
0–1 S. Alvero
own goal
76′
77′
🔁 V. Henry
↦ Y. Armougom
82′
🟨 Moussa Doumbia
C. Diakité 🔁
↦ J. Thiaré
84′
Y. Kitala 🔁
↦ Y. Kechta
84′
88′
🟨 Ismaël Aaneba
92′
🟨 Franck Kanouté
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
24 A. Richardson M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
23 J. Casimir F
10 N. Alioui F
11 Q. Cornette F
Bench (7)
14 J. Thiaré
28 E. Mahmoud
18 N. Mbemba
6 C. Diakité
9 Y. Kitala
15 T. Kongolo
1 M. Gorgelin

Coach: L. Elsner

Sochaux

4-1-4-1
16 M. Prévot G
28 J. Faussurier D
22 I. Aaneba D
5 S. Agouzoul D
18 Y. Armougom D
77 F. Kanouté M
7 T. Mauricio M
80 S. Alvero M
14 R. Ndiaye M
11 M. Do Couto M
15 A. Kalulu F
Bench (7)
9 I. Sissoko
70 M. Doumbia
29 V. Henry
8 J. Lopy
19 D. Meddah
30 M. Jeannin
20 S. Yatabaré

Coach: O. Guégan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,02
B
3,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.