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Ligue 2
Referee: R Lissorgue
Caen
U U S T U
2–2
Full-time
Bordeaux
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
35%
53%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
29%
35%
Both score Ø 41%
47%
35%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
10 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Caen 7. · Bordeaux 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 17 10 6 1 +19 36
2 Bordeaux 17 9 4 4 +11 31
3 Sochaux 17 9 3 5 +12 30
4 Amiens 17 8 3 6 +2 27
5 Grenoble 17 7 5 5 +1 26
6 Metz 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Caen 17 6 6 5 +2 24
8 Quevilly Rouen 17 6 6 5 +1 24
9 Valenciennes 17 6 6 5 +0 24
10 Paris FC 17 6 6 5 -1 24
11 Bastia 17 7 3 7 -4 24
12 Guingamp 17 6 5 6 -1 23
13 Pau FC 17 5 6 6 -5 21
14 Annecy 17 5 5 7 -1 20
15 Laval 17 6 2 9 -7 20
16 Dijon 17 4 6 7 -1 18
17 Rodez 17 4 6 7 -6 18
18 Nimes 17 4 4 9 -6 16
19 Niort 17 4 4 9 -13 16
20 St Etienne 17 3 6 8 -7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Bordeaux
4′
J. Maja 0–1
A. Elis
Romain Thomas 🟨
24′
25′
J. Maja 0–2
Y. Barbet
39′
🟨 Clément Michelin
Half-time 0–2
Y. Court 🔁
↦ E. Ntim
46′
C. Zady Sery 🔁
↦ D. Diani
46′
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ J. Deminguet
46′
1–2 Alexandre Mendy
Y. Court
52′
54′
🟨 Danylo Ignatenko
59′
🔁 D. Bakwa
↦ Z. Davitashvili
68′
🟨 Clément Michelin
68′
🟥 Clément Michelin
69′
🟨 Yoann Barbet
70′
🔁 A. Badji
↦ J. Maja
B. Jeannot 🔁
↦ B. Brahimi
80′
2–2 A. Abdi
Y. Court
82′
S. Essende 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
86′
Hugo Vandermersch 🟨
87′
Yoann Court 🟥
88′
88′
🟨 Alberth Elis
95′
🟨 Dilane Bakwa
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Caen

3-5-2
1 A. Mandréa G
91 E. Ntim D
27 I. Cissé D
29 R. Thomas D
24 H. Vandermersch M
21 B. Brahimi M
28 D. Diani M
8 J. Deminguet M
2 A. Abdi M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
17 G. Kyeremeh F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Court
10 C. Zady Sery
18 H. Mbock
9 B. Jeannot
99 S. Essende
6 Q. Daubin
16 Y. Clementia

Coach: S. Moulin

Bordeaux

4-3-3
16 G. Poussin G
34 C. Michelin D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 Y. Barbet D
14 V. N'Simba D
6 D. Ignatenko M
23 J. Mwanga M
13 Fransérgio M
29 A. Elis F
11 J. Maja F
30 Z. Davitashvili F
Bench (7)
7 D. Bakwa
10 A. Badji
31 R. Strączek
81 M. De Lima
3 J. Louis-Jean
27 T. Lacoux
17 L. Pirringuel

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U ✓
2,97
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lissorgue · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.