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Serie B

Referee: D Minelli

Venezia

S S U S T

2–2

Full-time

Parma

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 34%

28%

39%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

39%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 8

7 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Venezia 16. · Parma 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	18	11	3	4	+14	36
2	Reggina	18	10	3	5	+13	33
3	Bari	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	Genoa	18	8	6	4	+6	30
5	Pisa	18	6	8	4	+9	26
6	Parma	18	7	5	6	+5	26
7	Sudtirol	18	6	8	4	-1	26
8	Ternana	18	7	5	6	-1	26
9	Ascoli	18	6	7	5	+2	25
10	Brescia	19	6	7	6	-6	25
11	Palermo	19	6	6	7	-3	24
12	Benevento	18	5	7	6	-1	22
13	Modena	18	6	4	8	-2	22
14	Cagliari	18	5	7	6	-2	22
15	Spal	18	4	8	6	-1	20
16	Venezia	18	5	4	9	-5	19
17	Como	18	4	7	7	-7	19
18	Cittadella	18	4	7	7	-9	19
19	Cosenza	18	4	5	9	-13	17
20	Perugia	18	4	4	10	-10	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Reggina	9	5	2	2	+10	17
3	Pisa	9	5	2	2	+9	17
4	Parma	10	5	1	4	+3	16
5	Brescia	10	4	4	2	+2	16
6	Palermo	10	4	3	3	+2	15
7	Ternana	9	4	3	2	+2	15
8	Cagliari	9	4	3	2	+0	15
9	Genoa	9	3	5	1	+3	14
10	Modena	9	3	3	3	+3	12
11	Sudtirol	9	2	6	1	+1	12
12	Como	9	3	3	3	-1	12
13	Bari	8	2	5	1	+5	11
14	Spal	9	3	2	4	+2	11
15	Cosenza	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Perugia	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Ascoli	9	2	4	3	-2	10
18	Cittadella	9	2	4	3	-5	10
19	Benevento	9	2	3	4	-3	9
20	Venezia	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Frosinone	10	5	1	4	+4	16
3	Reggina	9	5	1	3	+3	16
4	Genoa	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Ascoli	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Sudtirol	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Benevento	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Venezia	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Ternana	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Parma	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Modena	9	3	1	5	-5	10
12	Pisa	9	1	6	2	+0	9
13	Spal	9	1	6	2	-3	9
14	Cittadella	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Palermo	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	Brescia	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Cagliari	9	1	4	4	-2	7
18	Como	9	1	4	4	-6	7
19	Cosenza	9	1	3	5	-12	6
20	Perugia	9	1	2	6	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.