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Referee: S van der Eijk

Twente

S S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Telstar

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Telstar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

69% Possession 31%

32 Shots 10

14 Shots on target 2

10 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 11

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Kozakken Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
40	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
49	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
50	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
51	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Kozakken Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.