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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Perenzoni

Atalanta

S S S T S

6–1

Full-time

Cesena

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Cesena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Empoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Sassuolo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Napoli	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Monza	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Milan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Torino	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Carrarese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-4	3
21	Sampdoria	2	0	2	0	+0	2
22	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Salernitana	2	0	1	1	-2	1
30	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Monza	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Torino	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
6	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-4	3
7	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Monza	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.