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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Ferrol
U U S T S
1–4
Full-time
Almeria
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
16%
53%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
32%
68%
Both score Ø 58%
42%
74%
Average goals
1,9
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 20. · Almeria 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 19 11 4 4 +8 37
2 Almeria 19 10 5 4 +8 35
3 Oviedo 20 10 5 5 +5 35
4 Mirandes 19 10 4 5 +6 34
5 Granada 20 9 5 6 +8 32
6 Levante 19 8 7 4 +7 31
7 Elche 19 8 6 5 +8 30
8 Huesca 19 8 5 6 +8 29
9 Castellon 19 8 5 6 +7 29
10 Sp Gijon 19 8 5 6 +6 29
11 Eibar 20 8 3 9 -2 27
12 Zaragoza 20 7 5 8 +4 26
13 Albacete 20 6 7 7 -3 25
14 Malaga 19 4 12 3 -3 24
15 Cordoba 20 6 6 8 -6 24
16 Burgos 19 6 4 9 -8 22
17 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
18 Cadiz 19 5 6 8 -6 21
19 Eldense 19 5 5 9 -5 20
20 Ferrol 19 3 9 7 -10 18
21 Cartagena 20 4 1 15 -21 13
22 Tenerife 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Almeria
15′
🔁 Nico Melamed
↦ Léo Baptistão
David Castro 🟨
16′
Josep Señé 🟨
24′
Naldo 🟨
26′
Rober Correa 🔁
↦ David Castro
31′
33′
L. Suárez 0–1
Nico Melamed
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Aitor Gelardo
Josué Dorrio
48′
51′
L. Suárez 1–2
57′
Sergio Arribas 1–3
L. Suárez
63′
L. Suárez 1–4
Álex Pozo
Álex López 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
66′
Eneko Jauregi 🔁
↦ Álvaro Giménez
66′
Bebé 🔁
↦ Nacho Sánchez
66′
74′
🔁 M. Milovanović
↦ L. Suárez
74′
🔁 Rubén Quintanilla
↦ Gonzalo Melero
David Carballo 🔁
↦ Aitor Gelardo
75′
77′
🟨 Ruben Quintanilla
83′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ Álex Pozo
83′
🔁 R. Fettal
↦ Sergio Arribas
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-3-3
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
15 David Castro D
14 Aitor Gelardo M
6 Álvaro Sanz M
10 Josep Señé M
11 Nacho Sánchez F
20 Álvaro Giménez F
17 Josué Dorrio F
Bench (11)
3 Rober Correa
8 Álex López
9 Eneko Jauregi
12 Bebé
26 David Carballo
1 Emilio Bernad
13 Yoel Rodríguez
24 Luis Perea
2 Julián Delmás
7 Chiki
19 Manu Vallejo

Coach: Cristóbal

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
4 Kaiky D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
6 D. Lopy M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
17 Álex Pozo M
12 Léo Baptistão M
11 Sergio Arribas M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (9)
10 Nico Melamed
19 M. Milovanović
34 Rubén Quintanilla
2 Arnau Puigmal
28 R. Fettal
16 A. Radovanović
36 M. Perović
31 Bruno Iribarne
24 Bruno Langa

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,99
U
3,47
B ✓
1,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.