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Coppa Italia

Referee: M Marcenaro

Bologna

S S U T S

2–1

Full-time

Empoli

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 3/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

100%

40%

Points per game

3,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

67%

80%

Both score Ø 40%

80%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

0,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%

16 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 23

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 2. · Empoli 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Bologna	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Cesena	4	3	0	1	-1	9
4	Empoli	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Inter	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Sassuolo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Napoli	3	1	1	1	+3	4
11	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Monza	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+4	3
14	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Roma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Torino	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Carrarese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-4	3
24	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-3	2
25	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
32	Salernitana	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	2	1	0	+7	7
2	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Inter	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Monza	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Roma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Torino	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Cesena	3	2	0	1	-3	6
3	Empoli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
8	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-4	3
9	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Roma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Monza	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.