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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adi Aganovic

Varnamo

T T T T T

1–2

Full-time

AIK

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

0,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 16. · AIK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	5	4	0	1	+8	+4.6	12
2	Mjallby	5	3	2	0	+7	-0.3	11
3	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.1	10
4	AIK	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.0	10
5	Degerfors	5	3	0	2	+4	+0.8	9
6	Malmo FF	5	2	2	1	+0	+1.3	8
7	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.8	6
8	Brommapojkarna	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.2	6
9	Hacken	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.4	6
10	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-3	+1.5	6
11	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+1	-2.2	5
12	Djurgarden	4	1	1	2	-2	+1.6	4
13	Sirius	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
14	Oster	4	1	0	3	-1	+0.0	3
15	Halmstad	5	1	0	4	-10	-6.3	3
16	Varnamo	4	0	0	4	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.8	9
2	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.2	7
3	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.3	6
4	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.4	4
5	AIK	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
6	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.3	4
7	Oster	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
8	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.2	3
9	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.5	3
10	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
11	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	3
12	Hacken	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
13	Halmstad	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.0	3
14	Djurgarden	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
15	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
16	Sirius	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.7	7
2	Degerfors	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.9	6
3	AIK	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.2	6
4	Sirius	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.5	4
5	Malmo FF	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
6	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
7	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.8	3
8	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
9	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.4	3
10	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
11	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.1	3
12	GAIS	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.5	2
13	Oster	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.6	0
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
15	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
16	Halmstad	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.