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Serie A
Referee: F La Penna
Empoli
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Bologna
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
19%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
60%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,68 xG 0,67
36% Possession 64%
5 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
25 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 15. · Bologna 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 22 17 2 3 +22 +14.9 53
2 Inter 20 14 5 1 +33 +22.8 47
3 Atalanta 22 14 4 4 +23 +15.9 46
4 Lazio 21 12 3 6 +9 +9.1 39
5 Juventus 22 8 13 1 +16 +10.9 37
6 Fiorentina 20 9 6 5 +12 +9.2 33
7 Bologna 20 8 9 3 +6 +5.4 33
8 Milan 20 8 7 5 +8 +13.0 31
9 Roma 21 7 6 8 +4 +1.8 27
10 Torino 22 6 8 8 -3 -7.1 26
11 Udinese 21 7 5 9 -8 -8.2 26
12 Genoa 21 5 8 8 -12 -9.1 23
13 Como 22 5 7 10 -9 +2.2 22
14 Cagliari 22 5 6 11 -13 -7.9 21
15 Empoli 21 4 8 9 -8 -10.7 20
16 Parma 21 4 8 9 -10 -13.9 20
17 Lecce 21 5 5 11 -21 -13.3 20
18 Verona 21 6 1 14 -23 -13.9 19
19 Venezia 21 3 6 12 -15 -13.6 15
20 Monza 21 2 7 12 -11 -7.7 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Bologna
1–0 L. Colombo
G. Pezzella
24′
Liam Henderson 🟨
36′
Alberto Grassi 🟨
40′
44′
B. Domínguez 1–1
C. Lykogiannis
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Castro
↦ T. Dallinga
Y. Maleh 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
58′
T. Anjorin 🔁
↦ A. Grassi
72′
74′
🔁 L. Ferguson
↦ N. Moro
74′
🔁 G. Fabbian
↦ J. Odgaard
76′
🔁 Juan Miranda
↦ C. Lykogiannis
Giuseppe Pezzella 🟨
78′
L. Cacace 🔁
↦ G. Pezzella
82′
M. De Sciglio 🔁
↦ L. Colombo
83′
84′
🔁 S. Iling-Junior
↦ B. Domínguez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Empoli

3-4-2-1
23 D. Vásquez G
2 S. Goglichidze D
34 A. Ismajli D
21 M. Viti D
11 E. Gyasi M
6 L. Henderson M
5 A. Grassi M
3 G. Pezzella M
99 S. Esposito F
10 J. Fazzini F
29 L. Colombo F
Bench (15)
93 Y. Maleh
8 T. Anjorin
13 L. Cacace
22 M. De Sciglio
35 L. Marianucci
36 J. Bacci
31 L. Tosto
37 D. Bembnista
7 J. Sambia
40 Brayan
27 S. Żurkowski
90 I. Konate
1 S. Perisan
12 J. Seghetti
38 N. El Biache

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski G
2 E. Holm D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
8 R. Freuler M
6 N. Moro M
30 B. Domínguez M
21 J. Odgaard M
11 D. Ndoye M
24 T. Dallinga F
Bench (13)
9 S. Castro
19 L. Ferguson
80 G. Fabbian
33 Juan Miranda
14 S. Iling-Junior
29 L. De Silvestri
34 F. Ravaglia
28 N. Cambiaghi
17 O. El Azzouzi
3 S. Posch
18 T. Pobega
23 N. Bagnolini
15 N. Casale

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,83
U ✓
3,24
B
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F La Penna · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.