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Coupe de France

Referee: M Bollengier

La Châtaigneraie

S S

0–6

Full-time

Lorient

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Châtaigneraie Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2 Corners 13

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Paris FC	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Grenoble	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Le Puy Foot	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Stade Plabennec	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Grasse	3	3	0	0	+4	9
8	Niort	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Évreux 27	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
13	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+6	6
14	Granville	3	2	0	1	+5	6
15	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+3	6
18	Chateauroux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Olympique St Quentin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Metz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Avranches	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Amiens	3	1	2	0	+10	5
24	Thaon	3	1	2	0	+3	5
25	Bastia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
26	Rodez	3	1	2	0	+1	5
27	Les Herbiers	2	1	1	0	+5	4
28	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
29	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
30	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
31	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
32	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
33	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
34	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
35	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
36	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
37	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
38	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
39	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
40	Reipertswiller	2	1	1	0	+1	4
41	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
42	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
43	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
44	Bergerac	2	1	1	0	+1	4
45	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
46	La Tamponnaise	3	1	1	1	+0	4
47	Linas-Montlhery	3	1	1	1	-1	4
48	Villerupt Thil	3	1	1	1	-3	4
49	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
50	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
51	Epinal	2	1	0	1	+3	3
52	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
53	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	0	1	+2	3
54	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
55	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
56	Brest	1	1	0	0	+2	3
57	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
58	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
59	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
60	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
61	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
62	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
64	Lyon Duchere	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Colomiers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Union Cosnoise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
69	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
70	Vire	3	1	0	2	-1	3
71	Boé Bon Encontre	2	1	0	1	-1	3
72	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
73	Marnaval	2	1	0	1	-1	3
74	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
75	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
76	Stade Béthunois	2	1	0	1	-3	3
77	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
78	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
79	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
80	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
81	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	2	0	2	0	+0	2
82	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
83	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
84	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
85	Hyères	3	0	2	1	-2	2
86	Vannes	3	0	2	1	-2	2
87	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
111	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
112	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
113	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
114	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
115	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
116	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
117	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
118	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
119	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
120	Trélissac	2	0	1	1	-1	1
121	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
122	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
123	Aubervilliers	2	0	1	1	-1	1
124	Ergué-Gaberic	2	0	1	1	-1	1
125	Lège-Cap-Ferret	2	0	1	1	-3	1
126	Grand Santi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
127	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
128	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
144	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
145	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
146	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
147	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
148	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
149	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
150	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
151	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
152	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
153	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
161	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
162	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
163	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
164	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
165	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
166	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
167	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
168	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
169	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
170	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
171	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
172	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
175	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
176	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
177	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
178	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
179	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
180	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
181	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
182	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
183	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
184	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
185	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
186	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
187	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
188	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0
189	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Stade Plabennec	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Évreux 27	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Villerupt Thil	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+10	3
14	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
15	Granville	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Grasse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	La Tamponnaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Linas-Montlhery	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
37	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
38	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
39	Thaon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
40	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
41	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
42	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Les Herbiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Bergerac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
66	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
67	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
68	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lyon Duchere	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Colomiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Chateauroux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Union Cosnoise	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Marnaval	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Grand Santi	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Stade Béthunois	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Vire	2	0	0	2	-5	0
119	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Niort	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Annecy	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Chateauroux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Avranches	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Grasse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Metz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Bastia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
16	Rodez	3	1	2	0	+1	5
17	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
18	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
19	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
20	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
26	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Vire	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
29	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Brest	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Boé Bon Encontre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Marnaval	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Valenciennes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Colomiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Stade Béthunois	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Évreux 27	2	1	0	1	-3	3
53	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
54	Amiens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
55	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
56	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Reipertswiller	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Grand Santi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	La Tamponnaise	2	0	1	1	-1	1
83	Hyères	2	0	1	1	-2	1
84	Vannes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
85	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Rumilly Vallières	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.