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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Angers
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Lorient
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
13%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
69%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
56%
75%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 20. · Lorient 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 16 14 2 0 +35 44
2 Lens 16 11 4 1 +16 37
3 Marseille 16 10 3 3 +18 33
4 Rennes 16 9 4 3 +15 31
5 Monaco 16 9 3 4 +9 30
6 Lille 16 9 2 5 +6 29
7 Lorient 16 8 4 4 +3 28
8 Lyon 16 7 3 6 +7 24
9 Nice 16 5 6 5 -2 21
10 Reims 16 4 8 4 -3 20
11 Clermont 16 5 4 7 -6 19
12 Montpellier 16 5 2 9 -3 17
13 Toulouse 16 4 4 8 -12 16
14 Troyes 16 3 6 7 -5 15
15 Ajaccio 16 4 3 9 -9 15
16 Nantes 16 2 8 6 -7 14
17 Brest 16 3 4 9 -14 13
18 Auxerre 16 3 4 9 -18 13
19 Strasbourg 16 1 8 7 -10 11
20 Angers 16 2 2 12 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lorient
Pierrick Capelle 🟨
4′
1–0 A. Sima
P. Capelle
10′
Farid El Melali 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–0
Cédric Hountondji 🟨
52′
I. Chetti 🔁
↦ S. Doumbia
58′
61′
🔁 J. Ponceau
↦ B. Innocent
A. Salama 🔁
↦ F. El Melali
70′
N. Bentaleb 🔁
↦ H. Abdelli
76′
76′
🔁 I. Koné
↦ L. Abergel
76′
🔁 S. Doucouré
↦ Y. Cathline
79′
A. Sima 2–0
own goal
88′
E. Le Fée 2–1
I. Koné
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
94 Y. Valery D
22 C. Hountondji D
5 M. Blažič D
3 S. Doumbia D
2 B. Mendy M
15 P. Capelle M
28 F. El Melali M
23 A. Hunou M
10 H. Abdelli M
19 A. Sima F
Bench (9)
31 I. Chetti
11 A. Salama
6 N. Bentaleb
4 H. Šabanović
26 W. Taibi
25 A. Bamba
92 S. Thioub
40 T. Borne
24 J. Bahoya

Coach: A. Bouhazama

Lorient

4-2-3-1
1 V. Mannone G
24 G. Kalulu D
4 C. Matsima D
3 M. Talbi D
25 V. Le Goff D
6 L. Abergel M
8 B. Innocent M
11 D. Ouattara M
10 E. Le Fée M
22 Y. Cathline M
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
21 J. Ponceau
9 I. Koné
29 S. Doucouré
17 Q. Boisgard
12 D. Yongwa
7 S. Diarra
70 A. Aouchiche
18 B. Meité
77 T. Bartouche

Coach: R. Le Bris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
U
3,48
B ✓
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.