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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Anderlecht
U U T T S
1–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 18/16 matches
Win Ø 63%
44%
81%
Points per game
1,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
56%
75%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
69%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
6 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 8. · St. Gilloise 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 16 14 1 1 +31 43
2 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +20 41
3 Antwerp 17 12 2 3 +16 38
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 St Truiden 20 8 6 6 +1 30
6 Gent 16 9 2 5 +13 29
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 8 5 6 +9 29
8 Anderlecht 18 8 2 8 +8 26
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
10 Charleroi 19 8 1 10 -6 25
11 Westerlo 16 6 4 6 +1 22
12 Standard 15 7 1 7 +0 22
13 Eupen 21 7 1 13 -15 22
14 Mechelen 19 5 4 10 -9 19
15 Waregem 20 5 4 11 -15 19
16 Kortrijk 19 5 3 11 -17 18
17 Oostende 21 5 3 13 -22 18
18 Seraing 19 4 2 13 -17 14
19 Seraing United 19 4 2 13 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht St. Gilloise
Moussa N'Diaye ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
8′
Moussa N'Diaye 🟥
10′
12′
🟨 Bart Nieuwkoop
K. Sardella 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
12′
Majeed Ashimeru 🟨
20′
Amadou Diawara 🟨
38′
42′
🟨 Christian Burgess
Jan Vertonghen 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Ismael Kandouss
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
62′
🔁 L. Lapoussin
↦ O. El Azzouzi
1–0 Fábio Silva
F. Amuzu
64′
B. Raman 🔁
↦ Fábio Silva
70′
K. Arnstad 🔁
↦ M. Ashimeru
70′
78′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ D. Vanzeir
78′
🔁 C. Terho
↦ L. Amani
78′
🔁 G. François
↦ I. Kandouss
Killian Sardella 🟨
80′
Francis Amuzu 🟨
81′
81′
Cameron Puertas 1–1
S. Lynen
M. Kana 🔁
↦ K. Sardella
82′
A. Trébel 🔁
↦ A. Diawara
82′
87′
K. Arnstad 2–1
own goal
90′
S. Adingra 2–2
V. Boniface
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
21 A. Diawara M
18 M. Ashimeru M
11 L. Refaelov M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
7 F. Amuzu M
99 Fábio Silva F
Bench (7)
54 K. Sardella
9 B. Raman
61 K. Arnstad
55 M. Kana
25 A. Trébel
30 H. Van Crombrugge
29 M. Stroeykens

Coach: B. Riemer

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
6 O. El Azzouzi M
11 S. Adingra M
20 S. Lynen F
13 D. Vanzeir F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
23 Cameron Puertas
94 L. Lapoussin
29 G. Nilsson
17 C. Terho
19 G. François
26 R. Sykes
21 L. Pirard

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
3,41
B ✓
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.