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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Rodez
S S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Bastia
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,5
Scored
2,7
0,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
26 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 6. · Bastia 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 10 8 1 1 +8 25
2 Auxerre 11 6 4 1 +13 22
3 Angers 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Grenoble 10 5 5 0 +7 20
5 St Etienne 10 5 3 2 +4 18
6 Rodez 10 5 2 3 +4 17
7 Guingamp 10 4 3 3 +6 15
8 Pau FC 10 4 3 3 +0 15
9 Caen 11 4 2 5 +3 14
10 Ajaccio 10 3 5 2 -2 14
11 Amiens 10 4 2 4 -3 14
12 Bordeaux 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Annecy 10 2 5 3 -2 11
14 Bastia 10 3 2 5 -6 11
15 Concarneau 10 3 2 5 -6 11
16 Troyes 10 1 5 4 -2 8
17 Paris FC 10 2 1 7 -6 7
18 Valenciennes 10 1 4 5 -8 7
19 Quevilly Rouen 10 1 3 6 -5 6
20 Dunkerque 10 1 3 6 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Bastia
3′
F. Conte 0–1
C. Vincent
20′
🔁 M. Alfarela
↦ F. Conte
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Tom Ducrocq
C. Dépres 🔁
↦ T. Arconte
63′
W. Taïbi 🔁
↦ A. Valério
63′
1–1 C. Dépres
L. Buadés
67′
70′
🔁 J. Maggiotti
↦ K. Djoco
Lorenzo Rajot 🟨
73′
74′
🟨 Johny Placide
77′
🔁 F. Tomi
↦ C. Vincent
77′
🔁 L. Guého
↦ I. Dramé
A. Hountondji 🔁
↦ L. Buadés
83′
R. Lipinski 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
19 L. Buadés M
7 W. Younoussa M
18 A. Valério M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
12 K. Corredor F
22 T. Arconte F
Bench (7)
25 C. Dépres
10 W. Taïbi
17 A. Hountondji
3 R. Lipinski
5 K. Boma
1 S. Cibois
26 Y. Verdier

Coach: D. Santini

Bastia

5-3-2
30 J. Placide G
27 R. Yapi D
95 C. Keita D
5 I. Dramé D
4 A. Roncaglia D
42 Dylan Tavares D
7 C. Vincent M
66 J. Janneh M
13 T. Ducrocq M
31 F. Conte F
39 K. Djoco F
Bench (7)
10 M. Alfarela
8 J. Maggiotti
18 F. Tomi
3 L. Guého
91 S. Lega
23 J. Fabri
17 F. Bianchini

Coach: R. Brouard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U ✓
3,46
B
3,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.