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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Twente
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 49%
73%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
42%
Both score Ø 38%
18%
58%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
27 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
13 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 4. · Go Ahead Eagles 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 11 9 1 1 +28 28
2 PSV Eindhoven 12 9 0 3 +22 27
3 AZ Alkmaar 12 8 2 2 +10 26
4 Twente 11 8 1 2 +16 25
5 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 +15 24
6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 2 3 +11 23
7 Utrecht 12 5 3 4 -4 18
8 Heerenveen 12 4 5 3 +1 17
9 Waalwijk 12 3 5 4 +0 14
10 Nijmegen 13 2 8 3 -2 14
11 Go Ahead Eagles 12 3 4 5 -3 13
12 Excelsior 13 4 1 8 -17 13
13 For Sittard 13 3 3 7 -8 12
14 Groningen 13 3 3 7 -11 12
15 Vitesse 12 3 2 7 -13 11
16 FC Emmen 13 2 4 7 -14 10
17 Cambuur 12 2 2 8 -11 8
18 Volendam 12 1 3 8 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Go Ahead Eagles
Mees Hilgers 🟨
18′
Virgil Misidjan ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
33′
1–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
34′
37′
🟨 Bobby Adekanye
Half-time 1–0
Robin Pröpper 🟨
46′
L. Everink 🔁
↦ J. Brenet
57′
59′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ B. Adekanye
60′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ I. Lidberg
60′
🔁 T. Tekie
↦ E. Linthorst
M. Kjølø 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
71′
D. Rots 🔁
↦ V. Černý
72′
86′
🟨 Finn Stokkers
A. Salah-Eddine 🔁
↦ V. Misidjan
86′
86′
🔁 R. Fernandes
↦ P. Rommens
Julio Pleguezuelo 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
87′
87′
🔁 G. Nauber
↦ J. Idzes
90′
ℹ️ Willum Thor Willumsson
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Luca Everink 🟨
91′
Ramiz Zerrouki 🟨
92′
92′
W. Willumsson 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
18 M. Vlap M
7 V. Černý M
14 S. Steijn M
10 V. Misidjan M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (12)
24 L. Everink
21 M. Kjølø
11 D. Rots
17 A. Salah-Eddine
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
38 M. Bruns
32 C. Staring
16 I. El Maach
23 M. Sadílek
26 D. Cleonise
22 P. Tytoń
27 M. Ugalde

Coach: R. Jans

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
6 J. Idzes D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
10 P. Rommens M
18 W. Willumsson M
11 B. Adekanye M
23 O. Edvardsen M
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (12)
19 S. Sow
27 F. Stokkers
15 T. Tekie
7 R. Fernandes
3 G. Nauber
17 M. Berden
26 J. Bakker
4 José Fontán
40 L. Plogmann
16 S. Jansen
24 J. Markelo
21 E. Llansana

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,37
U ✓
4,97
B
7,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.