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KNVB Beker

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Utrecht

U S S T U

1–4

Full-time

Spakenburg

S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Spakenburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — KNVB Beker · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

100%

75%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

21 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

13 Corners 2

2 Offside 6

5 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 3. · Spakenburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spakenburg	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	De Graafschap	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	De Treffers	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Nijmegen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Katwijk	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+5	6
10	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	URK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
20	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
22	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
24	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Den Bosch	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
55	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
56	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Spakenburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	URK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Katwijk	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.