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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
Vitesse
U T U S U
2–0
Full-time
Utrecht
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 31%
20%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
70%
53%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
53%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 13. · Utrecht 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 21 13 5 3 +21 44
2 Feyenoord 20 12 7 1 +27 43
3 PSV Eindhoven 21 13 3 5 +30 42
4 Ajax 20 11 7 2 +35 40
5 Twente 18 10 6 2 +20 36
6 Sparta Rotterdam 19 10 6 3 +16 36
7 Utrecht 19 8 6 5 +0 30
8 Waalwijk 20 6 8 6 +0 26
9 For Sittard 21 7 5 9 -7 26
10 Nijmegen 21 4 12 5 +2 24
11 Heerenveen 19 6 6 7 -3 24
12 Go Ahead Eagles 21 5 7 9 -8 22
13 Vitesse 20 4 8 8 -12 20
14 Excelsior 21 6 2 13 -28 20
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 -23 17
16 FC Emmen 21 3 7 11 -20 16
17 Cambuur 21 3 4 14 -24 13
18 Groningen 21 3 4 14 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Utrecht
Dominik Oroz 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
Carlens Arcus ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
50′
Carlens Arcus 🟥
51′
R. Yapi 🔁
↦ G. Vidović
52′
53′
🟨 Can Bozdoğan
1–0 M. Manhoef
63′
65′
🔁 V. Jensen
↦ T. Booth
65′
🔁 N. Maeda
↦ O. Boussaid
65′
🔁 L. Brouwers
↦ C. Bozdoğan
83′
🔁 A. Descotte
↦ S. van de Streek
84′
🟨 Jens Toornstra
87′
🔁 D. Sanches Fernandes
↦ M. van der Maarel
M. Sankoh 🔁
↦ B. Białek
88′
T. Hájek 🔁
↦ M. Manhoef
92′
2–0 M. Wittek
M. Sankoh
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
16 K. Scherpen G
2 C. Arcus D
6 D. Oroz D
29 N. Isimat-Mirin D
32 M. Wittek D
20 M. Meulensteen M
3 R. Flamingo M
42 M. Manhoef M
15 M. van Ginkel M
10 G. Vidović M
14 B. Białek F
Bench (10)
27 R. Yapi
9 M. Sankoh
18 T. Hájek
13 E. Cornelisse
53 S. van Duivenbooden
24 J. Houwen
25 G. de Regt
33 D. Reiziger
26 M. Jonathans
22 T. Domgjoni

Coach: P. Cocu

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
17 S. Klaiber D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
25 R. Kluivert D
2 M. van der Maarel D
6 C. Bozdoğan M
18 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Booth M
22 S. van de Streek M
26 O. Boussaid M
9 T. Douvikas F
Bench (10)
7 V. Jensen
30 N. Maeda
8 L. Brouwers
19 A. Descotte
37 D. Sanches Fernandes
38 R. Shein
31 T. Nijhuis
34 C. Mamengi
39 L. Edhart
16 F. de Keijzer

Coach: M. Silberbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,51
B
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.