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KNVB Beker
Referee: J Kamphuis
Cambuur
T T T T S
4–1
Full-time
MVV
T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur MVV
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,3
3,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RKAV Volendam 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 DEM 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Hercules 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Quick Boys 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
14 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
15 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 SJC Noordwijk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
20 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +7 3
21 Katwijk 1 1 0 0 +5 3
22 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
23 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
25 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
26 Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Dordrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
57 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur MVV
18′
R. Buifrahi 0–1
K. Kostons
1–1 S. Sylla
R. Balk
25′
2–1 M. Smit
28′
3–1 M. Breij
S. Sylla
40′
4–1 R. Uldriķis
45′
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 T. Taşçı
↦ R. Buifrahi
46′
🔁 B. Nieling
↦ W. Coomans
47′
🟨 Bryant Nieling
Gabi Caschili 🟨
50′
65′
🟨 Leroy Labylle
66′
🔁 D. Livramento
↦ M. Kleinen
W. Kooistra 🔁
↦ R. Balk
67′
M. Schaapman 🔁
↦ F. de Jong
68′
I. Henstra 🔁
↦ M. Smit
75′
T. Mercera 🔁
↦ G. Caschili
76′
78′
🔁 S. Penders
↦ B. Smeets
78′
🔁 F. Slegers
↦ M. Remans
J. van Mullem 🔁
↦ D. van Kaam
87′
88′
🟨 Muhammet Tunahan Tasci
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Cambuur

4-3-3
1 Y. van Osch G
2 G. Caschili D
15 M. Tol D
4 L. Bergsma D
27 S. Sylla D
14 M. Breij M
8 D. van Kaam M
10 F. de Jong M
7 R. Balk F
9 R. Uldriķis F
19 M. Smit F
Bench (12)
49 W. Kooistra
36 M. Schaapman
51 I. Henstra
42 T. Mercera
6 J. van Mullem
12 Y. El Hilali
23 B. Minnema
35 M. Veldman
5 T. Poll
16 D. Reiziger
21 M. de Koe
3 F. Smand

Coach: H. de Jong

MVV

4-2-3-1
1 T. Lambrix G
32 T. Zeegers D
3 Ö. Aktaş D
4 W. Coomans D
21 L. Labylle D
8 N. Souren M
31 M. Kleinen M
9 M. Remans M
5 B. Smeets M
11 R. Buifrahi M
10 K. Kostons F
Bench (9)
7 T. Taşçı
20 B. Nieling
22 D. Livramento
14 S. Penders
18 F. Slegers
12 R. Matthys
39 K. Sy
34 L. Schenk
6 N. El Basri

Coach: M. Verberne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.