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KNVB Beker
Referee: A Lindhout
Nijmegen
T S T U U
5–3
Full-time
Roda
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–3

58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
7 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RKAV Volendam 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 DEM 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Hercules 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Quick Boys 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
14 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
15 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 SJC Noordwijk 3 1 1 1 -1 4
19 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
20 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +7 3
21 Katwijk 1 1 0 0 +5 3
22 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
23 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
25 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
26 Cambuur 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Dordrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
60 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 MVV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
94 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
97 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
98 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
99 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
100 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
101 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
102 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nijmegen Roda
4′
🔁 F. Sposito
↦ O. Džepar
7′
S. Ouaissa 0–1
W. Ould-Chikh
1–1 Róber
E. Tavşan
9′
2–1 M. Mattsson
L. Schöne
22′
3–1 B. van Rooij
L. Schöne
24′
34′
🟨 Fabio Sposito
37′
S. Ouaissa 3–2
W. Ould-Chikh
42′
M. Didden 3–3
S. Ouaissa
Half-time 3–3
46′
🟨 Brian Koglin
K. Sano 🔁
↦ E. Tavşan
46′
63′
🔁 L. Daneels
↦ E. Peña Zauner
63′
🔁 M. Pourié
↦ M. Güçlü
4–3 Róber
L. Olden Larsen
80′
83′
🔁 M. Bangura
↦ F. Sposito
83′
🔁 L. Been
↦ S. Ouaissa
M. Hoedemakers 🔁
↦ L. Olden Larsen
85′
5–3 M. Hoedemakers
M. Mattsson
86′
92′
🟨 Walid Ould-Chikh
N. Rossen 🔁
↦ D. Proper
92′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Nijmegen

4-3-3
22 R. Roefs G
28 B. van Rooij D
4 M. Ross D
24 C. Verdonk D
15 S. van Wermeskerken D
20 L. Schöne M
8 M. Mattsson M
71 D. Proper M
7 E. Tavşan F
11 Róber F
14 L. Olden Larsen F
Bench (7)
23 K. Sano
6 M. Hoedemakers
32 N. Rossen
33 S. Sönmez
1 J. Cillessen
31 R. Janse
21 D. Arts

Coach: R. Meijer

Roda

4-3-3
22 L. Hamers G
44 B. Reith D
3 M. Didden D
4 B. Koglin D
15 L. Beerten D
6 W. Spieringhs M
10 W. Ould-Chikh M
17 O. Džepar M
25 S. Ouaissa F
29 M. Güçlü F
7 E. Peña Zauner F
Bench (11)
18 F. Sposito
14 L. Daneels
11 M. Pourié
27 M. Bangura
20 L. Been
30 D. Boon
19 L. Krasniqi
9 M. Schmid
8 N. Vossebelt
23 J. Steins
13 N. Röseler

Coach: B. Sibum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.