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Copa del Rey
Referee: José Munuera
0–10
Full-time
Alaves
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Deportivo Murcia Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
3,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
15 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Villanovense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
53 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
54 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
55 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
56 Zamora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
70 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Arosa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Deportivo Murcia Alaves
7′
A. Rebbach 0–1
N. Tenaglia
13′
Rubén Duarte 0–2
A. Rebbach
24′
🟨 A. Blanco
30′
🟨 R. Marin
38′
A. Rebbach 0–3
Álex Sola
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 Tomás Mendes
↦ Antonio Blanco
Adri Lorenzo 🔁
↦ Sergio Jiménez
52′
52′
Xeber Alkain 0–4
A. Rebbach
57′
🟨 N. Tenaglia
60′
Xeber Alkain 0–5
Tomás Mendes
62′
🔁 I. Hagi
↦ Álex Sola
63′
I. Hagi 0–6
Jon Karrikaburu
Álvaro Sanchez 🔁
↦ Mario Vallejos
64′
José Puche 🔁
↦ Nacho Fernández
64′
Roberto Andreu 🔁
↦ Nono
64′
68′
Jon Karrikaburu 0–7
70′
🔁 Guevara
↦ Selu Diallo
70′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Rubén Duarte
71′
🔁 Luis Rioja
↦ A. Rebbach
75′
Jon Karrikaburu 0–8
Tomás Mendes
Jota 🔁
↦ Mario Minguela
76′
80′
I. Hagi 0–9
Xeber Alkain
89′
Jon Karrikaburu 0–10
Xeber Alkain
Full-time 0–10

Line-ups

Deportivo Murcia

1 Toni Gil
5 A. Viveros
3 Edu Méndez
4 Nono
20 Cristóbal Soto
22 Mario Vallejos
8 Nacho Fernández
2 C. Almada
7 Mario Minguela
11 Sergio Jiménez
19 Bruno Tomás
Bench (10)
21 Adri Lorenzo
6 Álvaro Sanchez
15 José Puche
9 Roberto Andreu
17 Jota
13 Nassr Allah
14 Víctor García
24 Alberto Martínez
23 Luismi
10 Monas

Coach: Juanvi

Alaves

31 Jesús Owono
3 Rubén Duarte
19 N. Maraš
7 Álex Sola
14 N. Tenaglia
16 Rafa Marín
8 Antonio Blanco
35 Selu Diallo
17 Xeber Alkain
21 A. Rebbach
9 Jon Karrikaburu
Bench (11)
30 Tomás Mendes
10 I. Hagi
6 Guevara
27 Javi López
11 Luis Rioja
1 Sivera
15 Kike García
5 A. Abqar
32 Samu Omorodion
18 Jon Guridi
2 Andoni Gorosabel

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.