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Coppa Italia

Referee: L Zufferli

Sassuolo

S T U T U

0–0

Full-time

Spezia

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

7,0

4,0

Scored

5,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

37 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 4

16 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 8

17 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 8. · Spezia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Reggiana	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-4	1
23	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0
23	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.