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Copa del Rey

Referee: Juan Pulido

Chiclana

0–5

Full-time

Villarreal

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chiclana Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+12	3
2	Betis	1	1	0	0	+11	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Buñol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Elche	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Andratx	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Mirandes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Tudelano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Terrassa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Boiro	2	1	0	1	-3	3
48	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
49	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
50	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
51	Zamora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
65	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Andratx	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Tudelano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Terrassa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
12	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
13	Zamora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Buñol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Boiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+12	3
2	Betis	1	1	0	0	+11	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Elche	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Mirandes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chiclana Villarreal

19′

⚽ Manu Trigueros 0–1

Ilias Akhomach

A. Butron 🟨

29′

31′

⚽ Jorge Pascual 0–2

Ilias Akhomach

43′

⚽ Manu Trigueros 0–3

Carlos Romero

Half-time 0–3

Dani Guerrero 🔁

↦ Adrián Pascual

46′

Raúl Sánchez 🔁

↦ Samuel Fernández

46′

🔁 José Luis Morales

↦ Ilias Akhomach

46′

🔁 Adrià Alti

↦ Carlos Romero

Alberto Ramos 🔁

↦ Juan Argudo

62′

63′

🔁 Diego Collado

↦ Jorge Pascual

63′

🔁 Álex Baena

↦ Kiko Femenía

72′

⚽ Manu Trigueros 0–4

Alberto Chust 🔁

↦ Agustín Butrón

73′

74′

⚽ Álex Baena 0–5

Diego Ramírez 🔁

↦ David Montero

82′

Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Chiclana

1 Fran

2 Samuel Fernández

5 Jaime León

16 Kiko

6 Juan Argudo

14 Antonio Manzano

10 Agustín Butrón

4 David Montero

8 Marco Reyes

17 Adrián Pascual

7 Sergio Alba

Bench (11)

22 Dani Guerrero

24 Raúl Sánchez

19 Alberto Ramos

11 Alberto Chust

3 Diego Ramírez

26 Mario Casero

21 Hugo Peña

15 Antonio Rodríguez

9 Joselito

13 Fran Morales

18 Juanma

Coach: José Marí

Villarreal

1 Pepe Reina

Kiko Femenía

A. Mandi

Jorge Cuenca

Carlos Romero

14 Manu Trigueros

Santi Comesaña

Ramon Terrats

B. Brereton

Ilias Akhomach

Jorge Pascual

Bench (9)

15 José Luis Morales

26 Adrià Alti

43 Diego Collado

16 Álex Baena

6 É. Capoue

2 M. Gabbia

3 Raúl Albiol

13 F. Jörgensen

10 Dani Parejo

Coach: Pacheta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

11. Oct CDR 2 years ago

Referee

Juan Pulido · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,7 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

24,8 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Chiclana

Villarreal

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee